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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 46 (Nate) , Major: 64 (Maria) Florida - Any: 74 (Irma) Major: 74 (Irma)
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#903987 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 21.Sep.2017)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC THU SEP 21 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 68.4W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 45SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 68.4W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 68.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 69.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 70.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.9N 71.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.3N 71.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.4N 72.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 68.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH