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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 240 (Idalia) , Major: 240 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 240 (Idalia) Major: 240 (Idalia)
 
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#927596 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 28.May.2018)
TCDAT1

Subtropical Depression Alberto Discussion Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
1000 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Alberto`s circulation continues to move farther inland, and is now
centered over southeastern Alabama. Surface synoptic observations
indicate that the system has weakened to a 30-kt subtropical
depression. Alberto will continue to weaken as it moves over land
during the next few days, and the system should degenerate into a
remnant low in 24 hours or sooner. The low is forecast to
dissipate in 96 hours but some of the guidance, such as the latest
run of the GFS, suggests that this event could occur sooner.

The depression is moving northward at a somewhat faster pace, or
350/10 kt. The track forecast philosophy has not changed
significantly. The cyclone should accelerate north-northwestward to
northward around the western periphery of a mid-level ridge to the
east and southeast over the next couple of days. After that, the
system should turn toward the north-northeast due to the influence
of the mid-latitude westerlies. The official track forecast is
close to the latest dynamical model consensus, TVCN, and is similar
to the previous NHC forecast.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Heavy rainfall will lead to a significant risk of flash flooding
across the Florida Panhandle, much of Alabama, and western Georgia
overnight, spreading northward into northern Georgia, the
western Carolinas, and Tennessee on Tuesday.

2. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will continue to
affect portions of the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through
Tuesday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0300Z 31.4N 86.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 29/1200Z 32.9N 86.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 30/0000Z 35.6N 87.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/1200Z 38.4N 87.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 31/0000Z 41.6N 86.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 01/0000Z 48.0N 81.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch