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#96L odds now down to just 10% per NHC, as upper-level winds and interaction with the Greater Antilles has been too much to handle
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 35 (Michael) , Major: 35 (Michael) Florida - Any: 35 (Michael) Major: 35 (Michael)
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#941335 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 21.Sep.2018)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112018
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 21 2018

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN A FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 53.4W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 53.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h),
and this general motion will likely continue for the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected for the next day or two. The
depression is forecast to dissipate late this weekend or early next
week before it reaches the Lesser Antilles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky