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#96L odds now down to just 10% per NHC, as upper-level winds and interaction with the Greater Antilles has been too much to handle
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 35 (Michael) , Major: 35 (Michael) Florida - Any: 35 (Michael) Major: 35 (Michael)
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#941472 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 22.Sep.2018)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112018
1100 PM AST Sat Sep 22 2018

...POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION CREEPING NORTHWESTWARD...
...COULD DISSIPATE AS SOON AS SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 54.5W
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 54.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A
slow west-northwestward or northwestward motion is expected for the
next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to dissipate on Sunday or early Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky