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#943787 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 PM 09.Oct.2018)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018
0300 UTC WED OCT 10 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 31.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 31.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 12.3N 31.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.4N 32.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.8N 33.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 31.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE