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#9620 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 22.Sep.2004)
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004
0300Z THU SEP 23 2004

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 47.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......275NE 275SE 200SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 540SE 540SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 47.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 47.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.4N 45.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.4N 43.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 41.6N 42.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 47.0N 41.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 56.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 63.0N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...EXTRATROPICAL

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

FORECASTER BERG/AVILA