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| #980651 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 AM 03.Sep.2019) TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LANTANA FL TO SAVANNAH RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH FL TO SOUTH OF LANTANA FL * SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACOS ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * JUPITER INLET FL TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH FL TO JUPITER INLET FL * NORTH OF PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH FL TO JUPITER INLET FL * NORTH OF PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FL TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN...AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.4W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.4W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.5N 78.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.5N 79.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.9N 79.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.4N 79.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.3N 76.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 39.0N 69.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 46.5N 59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 78.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
