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| #981283 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 06.Sep.2019) TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...SC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET. THE STORM SURGE WARNING SOUTH OF SURF CITY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SURF CITY NC TO POQUOSON VA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS * HAMPTON ROADS A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET * NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO FENWICK ISLAND DE * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD * TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH OF COBB ISLAND * WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MA * NANTUCKET AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD MA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * MAGDALEN ISLANDS * FUNDY NATIONAL PARK TO SHEDIAC. * FRANCOIS TO BOAT HARBOUR. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 76.2W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 190SE 140SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 76.2W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 76.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.0N 74.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 38.8N 69.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N 65.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.7N 61.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 53.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 58.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.6N 76.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 06/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
