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| #982224 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:44 AM 14.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Humberto Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 ...CENTER OF HUMBERTO PASSING JUST EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND... ...MOST THE HEAVY SQUALLS ARE OCCURING NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 76.6W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM E OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 76.6 West. Humberto is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north- northwest is expected by Sunday and a slower northward to northeastward motion is forecast to occur by Monday. On the forecast track, the system will gradually move away from the northwestern Bahamas later today, and then will move well offshore of the east coast of Florida this weekend and early next week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Humberto is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) to the north and east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force reconnaissance plane was 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the northwestern Bahamas today. These winds should subside later today. RAINFALL: Humberto is expected to produce the following total rainfall accumulations through Monday: The Bahamas...2 to 4 inches, isolated maximum amounts 6 inches. Portions of the Florida and Georgia coasts...1 to 2 inches. STORM SURGE: Humberto is not expected to product significant storm surge in the northwestern Bahamas. SURF: Swells generated by Humberto are expected to increase and effect the coast from east-central Florida to South Carolina late this weekend and early next week. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila |
