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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 
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#990033 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:53 PM 20.Nov.2019)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0300 UTC THU NOV 21 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 61.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 61.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 61.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 23.3N 60.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.5N 57.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.0N 53.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 90SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 61.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE