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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Corpus Christi, TX (Corpus Christi, TX Area) Selection: |
#1209296 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:15 AM 23.Nov.2024) AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 504 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 306 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Key Messages: - Well above normal temperatures this weekend Temperatures will continue to warmup as onshore flow continues to advect warmer air into the region. Temperatures today with range from 80-85 degrees which is about 10-15 degrees above normal. Unfortunately, temperatures will continue to increase to close out the weekend with highs Sunday expected to range from 85-90 degrees, about 15-20 degrees above normal. Limited moisture availability will keep us dry in the short term. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 306 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Key Messages: - Substantially warmer than normal temperatures early next week As if it couldn`t have gotten worse from Sunday, highs Monday will be a tick warmer with temperatures ranging from the upper 80s to the lower 90s. A weak cold front early next week will briefly bring temperatures back down to slightly above normal levels for a day. Relief to the heat could come towards the tail end of next weeks work week as models show a stronger cold front that could result in daytime highs into the upper 60 to lower 70s. However, confidence in that solution is currently low due to model disagreement on timing and overall strength of the cold front. Rain chances will remain non- existent through much of the long term with only a low (15-20%) towards the tail end of next weeks work week across the Coastal Bend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 459 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Fog this morning at ALI will keep that site at MVFR levels with a low chance of IFR. After the fog dissipates later this morning, VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle with light winds. Winds could increase this afternoon and hover near 12 knots, but any gusts should remain below 20 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 306 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Weak southeast winds are expected this morning, gradually increasing throughout the day reaching moderate to strong levels tonight. Winds will remain moderate to strong Sunday through Monday morning as they shift and become more southerly. Winds will drop to weaker levels Monday afternoon through Tuesday before strengthening once again mid- week. Rain chances will be slim (less than 10%) through Monday with low chances for rain Wednesday and Thursday across the offshore waters between 20-60 nm off the Middle Texas Coast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 81 63 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 82 56 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 84 63 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 85 59 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 81 66 82 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 85 60 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 83 61 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 78 71 80 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ |
#1209287 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:15 AM 23.Nov.2024) AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 311 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 306 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Key Messages: - Well above normal temperatures this weekend Temperatures will continue to warmup as onshore flow continues to advect warmer air into the region. Temperatures today with range from 80-85 degrees which is about 10-15 degrees above normal. Unfortunately, temperatures will continue to increase to close out the weekend with highs Sunday expected to range from 85-90 degrees, about 15-20 degrees above normal. Limited moisture availability will keep us dry in the short term. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 306 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Key Messages: - Substantially warmer than normal temperatures early next week As if it couldn`t have gotten worse from Sunday, highs Monday will be a tick warmer with temperatures ranging from the upper 80s to the lower 90s. A weak cold front early next week will briefly bring temperatures back down to slightly above normal levels for a day. Relief to the heat could come towards the tail end of next weeks work week as models show a stronger cold front that could result in daytime highs into the upper 60 to lower 70s. However, confidence in that solution is currently low due to model disagreement on timing and overall strength of the cold front. Rain chances will remain non- existent through much of the long term with only a low (15-20%) towards the tail end of next weeks work week across the Coastal Bend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 953 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024 Pretty much VFR is expected for the next 24 hours, however, low level moisture from the onshore flow looks to be actually moving into the region with KBKS currently having fog, MVFR or worse is possible at ALI around 12z/Sat. So, MVFR VSBY (3SM BR) at ALI between 12z and 15z, however, still uncertain about this. Would expect more VFR conditions as it will take a little more time for the moisture to pool before there would be an expectation of fog. Otherwise, everywhere will be VFR through 06z/Sun. && .MARINE... Issued at 306 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024 Weak southeast winds are expected this morning, gradually increasing throughout the day reaching moderate to strong levels tonight. Winds will remain moderate to strong Sunday through Monday morning as they shift and become more southerly. Winds will drop to weaker levels Monday afternoon through Tuesday before strengthening once again mid- week. Rain chances will be slim (less than 10%) through Monday with low chances for rain Wednesday and Thursday across the offshore waters between 20-60 nm off the Middle Texas Coast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 81 63 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 82 56 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 84 63 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 85 59 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 81 66 82 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 85 60 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 83 61 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 78 71 80 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ |