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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Corpus Christi, TX (Corpus Christi, TX Area) Selection: |
| #1240750 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:30 AM 08.Aug.2025) AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 617 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 608 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 - Slightly elevated rain chances beginning on Sunday (25-40%). - Minor to moderate heat risk across South Texas. Brief periods of major risk are possible across portions of the Brush Country. - Elevated fire weather conditions throughout the forecast across portions of the Rio Grande Plains. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 Hot and humid conditions persist across South Texas as the eastern portion of a mid-level ridge sits over the region. These conditions will continue through Friday and Saturday as the aforementioned mid- level ridge stays positioned over the area, keeping rain chances low (<20%). On Sunday, a mid-level low or inverted trough-like feature will move into the region. Slightly deeper moisture (1.75" PWAT) and PVA associated with this feature will warrant an increase in rain chances across the Coastal Plains (25-40%). Rain chances will remain slightly increased through Tuesday as PVA lingers in the area. There will remain a low chance of diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms into the middle of next week. Heat indices throughout the area will generally remain between 100- 109 this weekend and through next week. Some areas may briefly reach around 110, but conditions are expected to remain below Heat Advisory levels. Heat impacts will remain minor to moderate throughout the forecast, with some areas around the Rio Grande Plains briefly reaching major risk. Remember to drink plenty of water and stay hydrated. Elevated fire conditions may exist across the Rio Grande Plains throughout the forecast due to minimum RH values forecast to be 25- 30 percent and above normal Energy Release Component (ERC) values. However, winds are expected to remain below criteria. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 VFR conditions will prevail this TAF cycle. Brief periods of MVFR/IFR VSBYs CIGs at ALI/CRP/VCT will lift around 14z, allowing for VFR conditions to return. Southeasterly will remain generally light to moderate with occasional gusts up to 20 knots by the afternoon hours as the seabreeze moves in across eastern sites. && .MARINE... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 A light to gentle (BF 2-3) south to southeasterly flow is expected in the overnight hours, increasing to a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze during the afternoon and evening hours each day throughout the forecast period. Rain chances remain low Friday and Saturday (<20%), with higher chances expected Sunday (25-40%) and lingering into Monday and Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 97 76 94 76 / 0 0 10 10 Victoria 98 75 96 74 / 10 0 20 10 Laredo 105 78 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 100 74 98 73 / 0 0 10 10 Rockport 93 80 92 79 / 10 0 10 10 Cotulla 104 77 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 97 74 96 74 / 0 0 10 10 Navy Corpus 91 80 90 80 / 0 0 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1240722 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:42 AM 08.Aug.2025) AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1229 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 - Slightly elevated rain chances beginning on Sunday (25-40%). - Minor to moderate heat risk across South Texas. Brief periods of major risk are possible across portions of the Brush Country. - Elevated fire weather conditions throughout the forecast across portions of the Rio Grande Plains. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 Hot and humid conditions persist across South Texas as the eastern portion of a mid-level ridge sits over the region. These conditions will continue through Friday and Saturday as the aforementioned mid- level ridge stays positioned over the area, keeping rain chances low (<20%). On Sunday, a mid-level low or inverted trough-like feature will move into the region. Slightly deeper moisture (1.75" PWAT) and PVA associated with this feature will warrant an increase in rain chances across the Coastal Plains (25-40%). Rain chances will remain slightly increased through Tuesday as PVA lingers in the area. There will remain a low chance of diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms into the middle of next week. Heat indices throughout the area will generally remain between 100- 109 this weekend and through next week. Some areas may briefly reach around 110, but conditions are expected to remain below Heat Advisory levels. Heat impacts will remain minor to moderate throughout the forecast, with some areas around the Rio Grande Plains briefly reaching major risk. Remember to drink plenty of water and stay hydrated. Elevated fire conditions may exist across the Rio Grande Plains throughout the forecast due to minimum RH values forecast to be 25- 30 percent and above normal Energy Release Component (ERC) values. However, winds are expected to remain below criteria. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 VFR conditions will prevail across the area overnight. In the morning hours (10z to 14z), ALI/CRP/VCT will have a brief period of MVFR/IFR VSBYs and CIGS due to morning fog. After the fog lifts around 14z, VFR conditions will return across the region with generally light winds and gusts near 20 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025 A light to gentle (BF 2-3) south to southeasterly flow is expected in the overnight hours, increasing to a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze during the afternoon and evening hours each day throughout the forecast period. Rain chances remain low Friday and Saturday (<20%), with higher chances expected Sunday (25-40%) and lingering into Monday and Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 97 76 94 76 / 0 0 10 10 Victoria 98 75 96 74 / 10 0 20 10 Laredo 105 78 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 100 74 98 73 / 0 0 10 10 Rockport 93 80 92 79 / 10 0 10 10 Cotulla 104 77 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 97 74 96 74 / 0 0 10 10 Navy Corpus 91 80 90 80 / 0 0 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ |
