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There is currently nothing on the horizon tropically in the Atlantic before Hurricane Season starts on June 1st.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 264 (Idalia) , Major: 264 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 264 (Idalia) Major: 264 (Idalia)
 
Show Area Forecast Discussion - Houston, TX (Houston/Galveston, TX Area) Selection:
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#1181054 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:06 PM 20.May.2024)
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1259 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Patchy fog will be possible once again later this morning, but not
expecting it to be quite as widespread or dense with surface
conditions being a little bit drier than previous nights. Locations
west of I-45 have the best chance of seeing fog development mainly
between the timeframe of 5-9AM.

Hot and dry conditions persist as we kick off the new work week, but
we`ll at least have a southerly breeze to work with. Latest surface
analysis shows an area of low pressure developing in the Texas
Panhandle. This`ll tighten the pressure gradient a bit leading to
southerly/southeasterly winds around 10 mph throughout the day.
We`re still going to see temperatures top out in the low 90s, but
90s with a breeze feels waaay better than the low 90s with no wind.
Heat index values will still be in the upper 90s though. That
onshore flow will come back to haunt us tomorrow with increasing
humidity leading to even higher heat index values. Temperatures
during the overnight hours will continue to be well above normal
with lows in the mid to upper 70s tonight and solidly in the upper
70s on Tuesday night.

We get even breezier on Tuesday as a shortwave trough pushing
through the Four Corners region generates another (and slightly
stronger) surface low on the lee-side of the Rockies. The deepening
of this surface low will lead to southeasterly winds around 15 mph
throughout the day. Being in the warm sector of this surface low
allows for moisture to increase even further. PW values will be in
the 1.3-1.7" range by Tuesday afternoon (75th percentile: ~1.60").
There will also be a 20-25 kt LLJ overhead and some upper level
diffluence, but with subsidence from the ridging aloft and a very
robust capping inversion aloft around 850mb...don`t expect to see
anything more than a higher percentage of cloud cover sticking
around through Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures will still top out in the low 90s Tuesday, but with the
added humidity it`ll feel like the triple digits! Heat index values
are expected to be in the 99-103F range, so heat safety must remain
a top priority. Be sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent
breaks, avoid strenuous outdoor activities during the hottest part
of the day, know the signs of heat stroke/heat exhaustion, and
ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS look before you lock your vehicle. Don`t forget
about your pets as well! If the ground is too hot for the palm of
your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.

Batiste

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

With mid/upper level ridging situated to our south and southwest throughout
this period, there are some indications in a couple of the latest model
runs that we might have to keep an eye on possible shower/storm development
from around midweek and on into the weekend. The latest NBM continues
its dry trend with only low rain chances Thursday afternoon/evening,
and will stick with this for now. As has been advertised, the main concern
will be the heat. High temperatures will be in the 90s, and heat index
values will generally be in a 95 to 105 range (and possible getting
close to heat advisory values on Monday...a week from today). Little
relief will come overnight as morning lows by the end of the week and
especially over the weekend will range from the low to mid 70s up north
to the upper 70s to around 80 central and south. As exactly stated above
and for several days now...heat safety must remain a top priority. Be
sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks, avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day, know the signs
of heat stroke/heat exhaustion, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS look before
you lock your vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well! If the
ground is too hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for
their paws.

42

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Mixture of VFR/MVFR CIGs this afternoon, courtesty of a Cu field
that is leading to BKN skies at GLS and FEW to SCT skies
elsewhere. Expect cloud cover to become more BKN to OVC at MVFR
levels tonight into Tuesday morning with a few hours of IFR CIGs
possible for some locations from 12-14Z Tuesday morning. Winds
will be 8-12 kts out of SE through tomorrow morning, with gusts to
20kts possible Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Light to mostly moderate onshore winds can be expected through
much of this week. Small craft may need to exercise caution at
times around midweek as the onshore flow increases and seas rise.

42

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast
Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity, Brazos, and San
Jacinto rivers. The following river points are either currently in
flood stage or are forecast to reach flood stage (as of early Monday
morning):

MAJOR//
-------
- Trinity River (Liberty): Major
- Trinity River (Goodrich): Major

MODERATE//
----------
- Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate
- Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Moderate
- Brazos River (West Columbia): Moderate (forecast)

MINOR//
-------
- Navasota River (Normangee): Minor
- East Fork San Jacinto (New Caney): Minor
- West Fork San Jacinto (Humble): Minor
- Brazos River (Rosharon): Minor
- Brazos River (Sugar Land): Minor
- Brazos River (Richmond): Minor (forecast)

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to
never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND,
DON`T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS
website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as
the river flood threat persists.

Batiste

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 90 74 91 76 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 91 75 91 77 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 84 78 85 78 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$
#1181013 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 20.May.2024)
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
543 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Patchy fog will be possible once again later this morning, but not
expecting it to be quite as widespread or dense with surface
conditions being a little bit drier than previous nights. Locations
west of I-45 have the best chance of seeing fog development mainly
between the timeframe of 5-9AM.

Hot and dry conditions persist as we kick off the new work week, but
we`ll at least have a southerly breeze to work with. Latest surface
analysis shows an area of low pressure developing in the Texas
Panhandle. This`ll tighten the pressure gradient a bit leading to
southerly/southeasterly winds around 10 mph throughout the day.
We`re still going to see temperatures top out in the low 90s, but
90s with a breeze feels waaay better than the low 90s with no wind.
Heat index values will still be in the upper 90s though. That
onshore flow will come back to haunt us tomorrow with increasing
humidity leading to even higher heat index values. Temperatures
during the overnight hours will continue to be well above normal
with lows in the mid to upper 70s tonight and solidly in the upper
70s on Tuesday night.

We get even breezier on Tuesday as a shortwave trough pushing
through the Four Corners region generates another (and slightly
stronger) surface low on the lee-side of the Rockies. The deepening
of this surface low will lead to southeasterly winds around 15 mph
throughout the day. Being in the warm sector of this surface low
allows for moisture to increase even further. PW values will be in
the 1.3-1.7" range by Tuesday afternoon (75th percentile: ~1.60").
There will also be a 20-25 kt LLJ overhead and some upper level
diffluence, but with subsidence from the ridging aloft and a very
robust capping inversion aloft around 850mb...don`t expect to see
anything more than a higher percentage of cloud cover sticking
around through Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures will still top out in the low 90s Tuesday, but with the
added humidity it`ll feel like the triple digits! Heat index values
are expected to be in the 99-103F range, so heat safety must remain
a top priority. Be sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent
breaks, avoid strenuous outdoor activities during the hottest part
of the day, know the signs of heat stroke/heat exhaustion, and
ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS look before you lock your vehicle. Don`t forget
about your pets as well! If the ground is too hot for the palm of
your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.

Batiste

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

With mid/upper level ridging situated to our south and southwest throughout
this period, there are some indications in a couple of the latest model
runs that we might have to keep an eye on possible shower/storm development
from around midweek and on into the weekend. The latest NBM continues
its dry trend with only low rain chances Thursday afternoon/evening,
and will stick with this for now. As has been advertised, the main concern
will be the heat. High temperatures will be in the 90s, and heat index
values will generally be in a 95 to 105 range (and possible getting
close to heat advisory values on Monday...a week from today). Little
relief will come overnight as morning lows by the end of the week and
especially over the weekend will range from the low to mid 70s up north
to the upper 70s to around 80 central and south. As exactly stated above
and for several days now...heat safety must remain a top priority. Be
sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks, avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day, know the signs
of heat stroke/heat exhaustion, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS look before
you lock your vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well! If the
ground is too hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for
their paws.

42

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 543 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Nighttime satellite imagery depicts low-level clouds filtering in
from the south mainly west of I-45 early this morning. This may
require a short TEMPO for MVFR ceilings/visibilities till 14Z. VFR
conditions will prevail throughout the day with southeasterly
winds around 8-12 knots. Widespread MVFR ceilings expected during
the late evening to overnight hours, and there looks to be some
potential for intermittent periods of IFR ceilings as well.

Batiste

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Light to mostly moderate onshore winds can be expected through
much of this week. Small craft may need to exercise caution at
times around midweek as the onshore flow increases and seas rise.

42

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast
Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity, Brazos, and San
Jacinto rivers. The following river points are either currently in
flood stage or are forecast to reach flood stage (as of early Monday
morning):

MAJOR//
-------
- Trinity River (Liberty): Major
- Trinity River (Goodrich): Major

MODERATE//
----------
- Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate
- Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Moderate
- Brazos River (West Columbia): Moderate (forecast)

MINOR//
-------
- Navasota River (Normangee): Minor
- East Fork San Jacinto (New Caney): Minor
- West Fork San Jacinto (Humble): Minor
- Brazos River (Rosharon): Minor
- Brazos River (Sugar Land): Minor
- Brazos River (Richmond): Minor (forecast)

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to
never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND,
DON`T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS
website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as
the river flood threat persists.

Batiste

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 90 74 91 76 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 91 75 91 77 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 84 78 85 78 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$
#1180994 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:36 AM 20.May.2024)
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, HYDROLOGY...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Patchy fog will be possible once again later this morning, but not
expecting it to be quite as widespread or dense with surface
conditions being a little bit drier than previous nights. Locations
west of I-45 have the best chance of seeing fog development mainly
between the timeframe of 5-9AM.

Hot and dry conditions persist as we kick off the new work week, but
we`ll at least have a southerly breeze to work with. Latest surface
analysis shows an area of low pressure developing in the Texas
Panhandle. This`ll tighten the pressure gradient a bit leading to
southerly/southeasterly winds around 10 mph throughout the day.
We`re still going to see temperatures top out in the low 90s, but
90s with a breeze feels waaay better than the low 90s with no wind.
Heat index values will still be in the upper 90s though. That
onshore flow will come back to haunt us tomorrow with increasing
humidity leading to even higher heat index values. Temperatures
during the overnight hours will continue to be well above normal
with lows in the mid to upper 70s tonight and solidly in the upper
70s on Tuesday night.

We get even breezier on Tuesday as a shortwave trough pushing
through the Four Corners region generates another (and slightly
stronger) surface low on the lee-side of the Rockies. The deepening
of this surface low will lead to southeasterly winds around 15 mph
throughout the day. Being in the warm sector of this surface low
allows for moisture to increase even further. PW values will be in
the 1.3-1.7" range by Tuesday afternoon (75th percentile: ~1.60").
There will also be a 20-25 kt LLJ overhead and some upper level
diffluence, but with subsidence from the ridging aloft and a very
robust capping inversion aloft around 850mb...don`t expect to see
anything more than a higher percentage of cloud cover sticking
around through Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures will still top out in the low 90s Tuesday, but with the
added humidity it`ll feel like the triple digits! Heat index values
are expected to be in the 99-103F range, so heat safety must remain
a top priority. Be sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent
breaks, avoid strenuous outdoor activities during the hottest part
of the day, know the signs of heat stroke/heat exhaustion, and
ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS look before you lock your vehicle. Don`t forget
about your pets as well! If the ground is too hot for the palm of
your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.

Batiste

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

With mid/upper level ridging situated to our south and southwest throughout
this period, there are some indications in a couple of the latest model
runs that we might have to keep an eye on possible shower/storm development
from around midweek and on into the weekend. The latest NBM continues
its dry trend with only low rain chances Thursday afternoon/evening,
and will stick with this for now. As has been advertised, the main concern
will be the heat. High temperatures will be in the 90s, and heat index
values will generally be in a 95 to 105 range (and possible getting
close to heat advisory values on Monday...a week from today). Little
relief will come overnight as morning lows by the end of the week and
especially over the weekend will range from the low to mid 70s up north
to the upper 70s to around 80 central and south. As exactly stated above
and for several days now...heat safety must remain a top priority. Be
sure to drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks, avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day, know the signs
of heat stroke/heat exhaustion, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS look before
you lock your vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well! If the
ground is too hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for
their paws.

42

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Mostly VFR conditions expected through Mon evening. There is the
chance for MVFR cigs early in the morning along with the
development of patchy fog over portions of SE TX, but is expected
to lift and disperse near sunrise. Light SE winds through around
14Z, strengthening to around 10 KTS thereafter. Winds are expected
to stay elevated through Mon night. MVFR cigs are expected to
develop Mon night into early Tue.

24

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Light to mostly moderate onshore winds can be expected through
much of this week. Small craft may need to exercise caution at
times around midweek as the onshore flow increases and seas rise.

42

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast
Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity, Brazos, and San
Jacinto rivers. The following river points are either currently in
flood stage or are forecast to reach flood stage (as of early Monday
morning):

MAJOR//
-------
- Trinity River (Liberty): Major
- Trinity River (Goodrich): Major

MODERATE//
----------
- Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate
- Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Moderate
- East Fork San Jacinto (New Caney): Moderate to Minor
- Brazos River (West Columbia): Moderate (forecast)

MINOR//
-------
- Navasota River (Normangee): Minor
- West Fork San Jacinto (Humble): Minor
- Brazos River (Rosharon): Minor
- Brazos River (Sugar Land): Minor
- Brazos River (Richmond): Minor (forecast)

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to
never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND,
DON`T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS
website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as
the river flood threat persists.

Batiste

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 90 74 91 76 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 91 75 91 77 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 84 78 85 78 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$
#1180975 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:06 AM 20.May.2024)
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

For the first time in a while, we have several days without
rainfall forecast. And even when we do have rain chances on
Wednesday and Thursday, activity may struggle to push too deeply
into our area from the north. Despite that, however, things are
not really quieting down here at The Bureau. Area rivers remain
swollen, with roughly a dozen gages at or forecast to be in flood
stage, with major flooding persisting on the Trinity River. Also,
as rain chances take a break from plaguing us, it will be spelled
by early summer heat, and temperatures may find themselves firmly
into the range of full summer. Some key things to remember about
the week ahead:
- Major flooding continues on the Trinity River, moderate flooding
on the East Fork San Jacinto, and minor flooding on other area
rivers and streams. Please continue to heed the advice of local
officials, and try to avoid flooded areas as possible.
- Expect heat to build through the week, as we may see highs begin
to push towards the mid-90s and peak heat index values around
105 degrees towards the end of the week. Though not rising to
the level of our heat advisory threshold, this is still strong
early heat, and it will be important to practice heat safety as
we acclimate to summer conditions. This is particularly
important for any remaining areas with significant power
outages, as it will be difficult to find respite in air
conditioned locations.
- The "sneakier" avenue of heat will also be on the scene this
week, with warm temperatures overnight. After Monday morning, it
will be difficult for anywhere in the area to fall below 70
degrees, and later in the week, lows only in the upper half of
the 70s are expected to expand out from the Gulf coast to become
widespread.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

A weak shortwave at 700mb coupled with onshore flow has led to a
scattering of cumulus clouds across SE Texas this afternoon. These
won`t amount to anything more than little cotton ball clouds as WV
imagery reveals a pretty bone-dry airmass and subsidence from high
pressure will suppress vertical growth.

Tonight will feature pretty mild and humid weather as lows loom in
the 70s for most of the area. Locations in the Piney Woods and
Brazos Valley may dip into the upper 60s. With low-levels/surface
allowed to dry out more today, this should keep fog development a
little more sparse tonight into Monday morning. Patchy fog may still
be possible across portions of the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods.

Monday will feature another day of benign weather, and this
meteorologist is pretty thankful for that! The warming trend will
continue as the work week kicks off. Highs for Monday will be in the
upper 80s to low 90s.

One thing to bear in mind, that while the weather will feature
beautiful sunny skies and warm temperatures, the increasing humidity
combined with increasing temperatures will lead to heat indices in
the upper 90s approaching 100F...

Breezier winds may provide some relief from the rising temperatures
tomorrow. A shortwave trough will push through the Great Plains and
generate an area of low pressure. This area of low pressure will
deepen and swing eastward which will lead to a tightening pressure
gradient and consequently increasing winds.

Monday night`s lows will provide little relief from the daytime heat
as temperatures remain in the mid to upper 70s with a muggy feel.
This will be the beginning of the warm trend that will continue
through the long-term period. Echoing the words of the previous
forecaster: Please take precautions to protect yourself and loved
ones from the heat. Make sure to stay hydrated, take frequent
breaks, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day,
and LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK!

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

There is not a lot in the way of PoPs even in the long term, so
let`s just get our chat about that out of the way. Our traditional
summertime subtropical ridge is trying to work its way into the
picture - hence the lack of PoPs - but it is not yet dominant,
with an active northern stream shooting a near continuous string
of upper troughs through, beating back the ridge. Since they`re
only blunting the ridge, I`d expect the impact to our area will
generally be minimal but this is the time of year where we still
have to watch developing convective complexes warily. A
sufficiently developed complex could alter the mesoscale
environment enough to persist into parts of Southeast Texas, even
though the models insist they will all die out before arriving.
Right now, the best days I see for that are Wednesday and
Thursday evenings, when a trough running through the subtropical
jet stream may phase up well with a more significant northern
stream trough. Even then, however, I still only bring slight
chance to chance PoPs to the northernmost stretch of our area,
roughly from Brenham to Huntsville to Lufkin northwestward.

Beyond that, the big story is the emerging summertime conditions,
particularly by next weekend. The NAEFS ensemble mean has 850 mb
temps generally over the 90th percentile (and occasionally
higher, like Monday and Tuesday nights), and by the weekend,
consistently topping the 97.5th percentile. The Euro ensemble mean
850 temps are right in the same ballpark, though perhaps just a
touch lower for the weekend...but only in the sense that large
swaths of the area see things reach the 97.5th percentile, instead
of most/all of the area. In exploring potential alternate
scenarios, I checked out our multi-model ensemble clustering
tool. And...well...it wasn`t very interesting. The top cluster was
consistently very near the multi-ensemble mean for high temps, and
only sporadically in lower clusters showed spotty deviation
slightly up or down. Ultimately, I am seeing pretty high
confidence that we`ll see some typically full summertime
conditions going into the Memorial Day weekend.

What do I mean by "full summertime"? I`m looking at temperatures
rising into the 90s area-wide, with a number of places pushing
into the middle 90s. Combine that with Gulf Coast humidity, and
this will bring us to heat index values peaking out around 105
degrees. These kinds of numbers would be perfectly in place in
July and August, but it is a bit on the high side for late May.
We`re not quite at the point where we`d need heat advisories, but
it is kinda close, it`s a holiday weekend, and a number of people
may still be without power due to last Thursday`s storms as a
complicating factor.

On top of that, things don`t get any better at night. With
persistent onshore flow, high dewpoints will be the overnight
temperature floor elevated. After Monday night, we`ll struggle to
see anywhere in the area fall below 70 degrees, and deep into the
week, lows in the middle to upper 70s will spread outward from the
Gulf Coast to swallow much of the area. This will be particularly
important if getting into air conditioned places overnight is a
challenge, since being unable to find times to shed the
accumulation of heat stress creates a more dangerous situation for
heat illness/injury. Heat stress also tends to have greater
impacts in a largely unacclimated population, which we may see
with this first big outdoor holiday weekend of the summer. Should
numbers drift any higher, advisories are something we might need
to give more serious thought to.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Mostly VFR conditions expected through Mon evening. There is the
chance for MVFR cigs early in the morning along with the
development of patchy fog over portions of SE TX, but is expected
to lift and disperse near sunrise. Light SE winds through around
14Z, strengthening to around 10 KTS thereafter. Winds are expected
to stay elevated through Mon night. MVFR cigs are expected to
develop Mon night into early Tue.

24

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Though still drifting back to being more ESE at times, generally
southeasterly winds are coming to prevail across the area today,
and this onshore flow can be expected to persist through the week,
generally around 15 knots across the waters. While most of the
time this will be in the 10-15 knot range, at times they will
drift upwards into the 15-20 knot range, and occasionally prompt
stretches of caution flags.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Updated at 313 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast
Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity, Brazos, and San
Jacinto rivers. The following river points are either currently in
flood stage or are forecast to reach flood stage (as of early Sunday
morning):

MAJOR//
-------
- Trinity River, Liberty
- Trinity River, Goodrich

MODERATE//
----------
- Trinity River, Riverside
- Trinity River, Moss Bluff
- East Fork San Jacinto, New Caney

MINOR//
-------
- Menard Creek, Rye
- Lake Creek, Sendera Ranch Rd.
- West Fork San Jacinto, Humble
- Navasota River, Normangee
- Brazos River, Rosharon
- Brazos River, Richmond (forecast)
- Brazos River, Sugar Land (forecast)
- Brazos River, West Columbia (forecast)

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to
never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND,
DON`T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS
website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as
the river flood threat persists.

Batiste/Luchs

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Still amazed with how much rain parts of our northern counties have
received so far this year. Through May 17th, Huntsville`s (UTS) 50.14
inches was 35.01 inches above normal and was the wettest on record
start to the year (previous record was 22.37 inches in 2004). Huntsville`s
records date back to 4/1/1998.

42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 69 89 73 90 / 0 0 0 10
Houston (IAH) 71 90 74 90 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 75 83 77 84 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$