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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Melbourne, FL (East Central Florida) Selection: |
#1181050 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:51 PM 20.May.2024) AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 135 PM EDT Mon May 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 129 PM EDT Mon May 20 2024 VFR conditions prevailing. A few showers present on KMLB radar early this afternoon have led to VCSH inclusion for areas from MCO northward into mid-afternoon. Otherwise, areas are expected to remain mostly dry today. To the south, higher confidence in showers and storms this afternoon, with VCTS included for the Treasure Coast, as the sea breeze moves inland. A TEMPO group has been included for SUA, which has the highest chance for seeing any reductions due to convection. Any convection is expected to diminish into late evening. Winds have already veered northeasterly behind the sea breeze for coastal terminals from around TIX southward. The sea breeze is forecast to move inland into this afternoon, with gusts up to 25kts possible. Winds will diminish after sunset and back northerly once again. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1025 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 A weak front will continue to progress slowly southward across central FL today. Mid level trough axis aloft will remain extended across the region and will combine with some lingering moisture (PW values of 1.3-1.4") to allow for some isolated to scattered shower and storm development even behind the front, mainly into the afternoon hours. PoPs range from around 20-40 percent. This activity will largely form along a slight surge in northerly winds behind the front and with the east coast sea breeze forming from the Cape southward and moving inland. Greatest potential for storms, however, will be across southern portions of Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast later this afternoon into the early evening, near the frontal boundary where greater moisture/instability will exist. A few stronger storms will be possible, and SPC maintains a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather for today across this region. Strong to locally damaging wind gusts of 40-60 mph and coin-sized hail will be the main threats. N/NE winds will become breezy up to 15 to 20 mph toward mid to late afternoon, with gusts up to 25 to 30 mph possible. It will remain seasonably warm behind the front, with highs ranging from the low 80s along the Volusia County coast to the low 90s over the interior, south of Orlando. && .MARINE... Issued at 1025 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...Updated the forecast to increase wind speeds with the surge of northerly winds later this afternoon into this evening behind the front. Winds look to increase closer to around 15-20 knots north of Sebastian Inlet from late day into the evening hours, with seas building up to 6 feet offshore. Have added exercise caution headlines for the Volusia waters and nearshore Brevard waters for late this afternoon, and these headlines will need to be continued into the evening, including the offshore Brevard waters. South of Sebastian Inlet, winds veer to the N/NE and increase to 10-15 knots. Isolated to scattered showers and storms still possible over the waters, especially south of Sebastian Inlet, where a few stronger storms will continue to be possible late this afternoon and evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 69 84 70 85 / 10 30 0 10 MCO 70 87 70 90 / 10 40 0 10 MLB 72 85 72 86 / 20 30 10 10 VRB 70 87 71 88 / 20 30 10 20 LEE 68 88 71 91 / 10 40 0 10 SFB 68 87 70 90 / 10 40 0 10 ORL 71 88 71 90 / 10 40 0 10 FPR 69 87 70 87 / 20 30 10 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ |
#1181036 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:30 PM 20.May.2024) AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1025 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 ...New UPDATE, MARINE... .UPDATE... Issued at 1025 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 A weak front will continue to progress slowly southward across central FL today. Mid level trough axis aloft will remain extended across the region and will combine with some lingering moisture (PW values of 1.3-1.4") to allow for some isolated to scattered shower and storm development even behind the front, mainly into the afternoon hours. PoPs range from around 20-40 percent. This activity will largely form along a slight surge in northerly winds behind the front and with the east coast sea breeze forming from the Cape southward and moving inland. Greatest potential for storms, however, will be across southern portions of Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast later this afternoon into the early evening, near the frontal boundary where greater moisture/instability will exist. A few stronger storms will be possible, and SPC maintains a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather for today across this region. Strong to locally damaging wind gusts of 40-60 mph and coin-sized hail will be the main threats. N/NE winds will become breezy up to 15 to 20 mph toward mid to late afternoon, with gusts up to 25 to 30 mph possible. It will remain seasonably warm behind the front, with highs ranging from the low 80s along the Volusia County coast to the low 90s over the interior, south of Orlando. && .MARINE... Issued at 1025 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...Updated the forecast to increase wind speeds with the surge of northerly winds later this afternoon into this evening behind the front. Winds look to increase closer to around 15-20 knots north of Sebastian Inlet from late day into the evening hours, with seas building up to 6 feet offshore. Have added exercise caution headlines for the Volusia waters and nearshore Brevard waters for late this afternoon, and these headlines will need to be continued into the evening, including the offshore Brevard waters. South of Sebastian Inlet, winds veer to the N/NE and increase to 10-15 knots. Isolated to scattered showers and storms still possible over the waters, especially south of Sebastian Inlet, where a few stronger storms will continue to be possible late this afternoon and evening. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...Early morning surface analysis has shown a weak cold front sinking into the Florida peninsula, reaching the I-4 corridor. Widely isolated showers developed overland this morning ahead of the boundary with most convective activity limited to the far offshore Atlantic waters. The front will continue to gradually track southward through the morning, moving south of Lake Okeechobee into the afternoon. Northerly winds behind the front are forecast to increase to around 10 mph, remaining light enough for an east coast sea breeze to develop. Only modest drying is forecast behind the weak front today with model guidance holding on to PWATs around 1.1- 1.4". This lingering moisture could be enough to spark convective activity as the sea breeze moves inland. The current forecast includes a 30 percent chance of showers and storms north of a line from Melbourne to Lake Marian. The greatest coverage of showers and storms lies south of this line (40-50%) where the sea breeze is forecast to interact with the Lake Okeechobee breeze. Surface instability in place could allow for a stronger storm. However, an inversion present above 700mb, warming 500mb temperatures (-8 C), and dry air aloft could all aid in limiting strong updraft growth. While strong storm development could be limited with some uncertainties, there remains a Marginal Risk for an isolated severe storm across Martin, southern Okeechobee and southern St. Lucie counties where surface instability will be maximized. Little relief from the heat behind the frontal boundary with afternoon temperatures ranging the mid to upper 80s along and north of the I-4 corridor, climbing into the low 90s southward. A few degrees cooler along the coast. Lingering moisture will promote Heat Index values in the mid to upper 90s across Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast. Tuesday...Mid level troughing settles across the western Atlantic, extending southwestward across the Florida peninsula. Weak surface troughing sits off the eastern coast of Florida while surface high pressure extends along the eastern seaboard into the Florida panhandle. Locally, light north-northeast flow will support development of an afternoon sea breeze. Once again, modest moisture remains in place to support scattered showers and lightning storms along developing mesoscale boundaries. Temperatures cool two to three degrees compared to Monday, with highs widely ranging the mid to upper 80s. Areas near Lake Okeechobee will be the warmest with highs forecast near 90 degrees. Wednesday-Sunday...Ridging over the western Gulf of Mexico slides eastward, extending into Florida. A short wave trough moving into the eastern CONUS will then work to flatten ridging in place by late week. The area of anomalous ridging aloft will support drying conditions and warming temperatures at the start of the extended period. Onshore flow continues to promote an east coast sea breeze regime Wednesday and Thursday with only an isolated mention of convection each afternoon. Surface flow begins to veer southerly Thursday night, returning moisture and a mention of scattered precip chances by the weekend. High temperatures in the upper 80s (coast) to lower 90s (inland) on Wednesday follow a warming trend each day into late week. High temperatures mostly in the mid 90s by Sunday. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFs) Issued at 735 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Continued mainly VFR across ECFL. Some stratus pushing southward from north FL may lead to some IFR/LIFR conds early this morning, primarily north of MCO, and patchy ground fog is producing some MVFR visibilities at VRB/FPR. WRLY morning winds gradually transitioning to NW/N around 10 kts into early afternoon ahead of a N/NNE wind surge that will increase speeds to 15-20 kts with frequent higher gusts. We continue to carry VCSH wording early afternoon for many terminals, except VCTS for Treasure Coast terminals (mid-late aftn), where confidence is higher for convection - closer proximity to a frontal boundary and deeper moisture here. && .MARINE... Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...A weak frontal boundary slides southward across the local waters today. North winds increasing to 10-15 kts behind the front will build seas up to 4-5 ft in the Gulf Steam. Winds veer east along the coast with the development of an east coast sea breeze this afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast. Tuesday-Friday...North winds into Tuesday gradually veer onshore into mid week, remaining 7-12 kts. Light winds then veer southward into Friday. Seas up to 5 ft in the Gulf Stream on Tuesday gradually subside, and seas become widely 2-3 ft by Wednesday evening. Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lightning storms are forecast on Tuesday with coverage following a downward trend each following day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 83 70 83 70 / 30 10 40 0 MCO 89 70 87 70 / 30 20 50 0 MLB 87 73 85 72 / 20 10 50 10 VRB 89 71 87 71 / 30 20 50 10 LEE 87 69 87 70 / 30 20 40 0 SFB 87 69 87 70 / 30 10 50 0 ORL 88 71 87 71 / 30 20 50 0 FPR 90 69 87 70 / 30 20 50 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ |
#1181025 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:42 AM 20.May.2024) AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 735 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (12Z TAFs) Issued at 735 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Continued mainly VFR across ECFL. Some stratus pushing southward from north FL may lead to some IFR/LIFR conds early this morning, primarily north of MCO, and patchy ground fog is producing some MVFR visibilities at VRB/FPR. WRLY morning winds gradually transitioning to NW/N around 10 kts into early afternoon ahead of a N/NNE wind surge that will increase speeds to 15-20 kts with frequent higher gusts. We continue to carry VCSH wording early afternoon for many terminals, except VCTS for Treasure Coast terminals (mid-late aftn), where confidence is higher for convection - closer proximity to a frontal boundary and deeper moisture here. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...Early morning surface analysis has shown a weak cold front sinking into the Florida peninsula, reaching the I-4 corridor. Widely isolated showers developed overland this morning ahead of the boundary with most convective activity limited to the far offshore Atlantic waters. The front will continue to gradually track southward through the morning, moving south of Lake Okeechobee into the afternoon. Northerly winds behind the front are forecast to increase to around 10 mph, remaining light enough for an east coast sea breeze to develop. Only modest drying is forecast behind the weak front today with model guidance holding on to PWATs around 1.1- 1.4". This lingering moisture could be enough to spark convective activity as the sea breeze moves inland. The current forecast includes a 30 percent chance of showers and storms north of a line from Melbourne to Lake Marian. The greatest coverage of showers and storms lies south of this line (40-50%) where the sea breeze is forecast to interact with the Lake Okeechobee breeze. Surface instability in place could allow for a stronger storm. However, an inversion present above 700mb, warming 500mb temperatures (-8 C), and dry air aloft could all aid in limiting strong updraft growth. While strong storm development could be limited with some uncertainties, there remains a Marginal Risk for an isolated severe storm across Martin, southern Okeechobee and southern St. Lucie counties where surface instability will be maximized. Little relief from the heat behind the frontal boundary with afternoon temperatures ranging the mid to upper 80s along and north of the I-4 corridor, climbing into the low 90s southward. A few degrees cooler along the coast. Lingering moisture will promote Heat Index values in the mid to upper 90s across Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast. Tuesday...Mid level troughing settles across the western Atlantic, extending southwestward across the Florida peninsula. Weak surface troughing sits off the eastern coast of Florida while surface high pressure extends along the eastern seaboard into the Florida panhandle. Locally, light north-northeast flow will support development of an afternoon sea breeze. Once again, modest moisture remains in place to support scattered showers and lightning storms along developing mesoscale boundaries. Temperatures cool two to three degrees compared to Monday, with highs widely ranging the mid to upper 80s. Areas near Lake Okeechobee will be the warmest with highs forecast near 90 degrees. Wednesday-Sunday...Ridging over the western Gulf of Mexico slides eastward, extending into Florida. A short wave trough moving into the eastern CONUS will then work to flatten ridging in place by late week. The area of anomalous ridging aloft will support drying conditions and warming temperatures at the start of the extended period. Onshore flow continues to promote an east coast sea breeze regime Wednesday and Thursday with only an isolated mention of convection each afternoon. Surface flow begins to veer southerly Thursday night, returning moisture and a mention of scattered precip chances by the weekend. High temperatures in the upper 80s (coast) to lower 90s (inland) on Wednesday follow a warming trend each day into late week. High temperatures mostly in the mid 90s by Sunday. && .MARINE... Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...A weak frontal boundary slides southward across the local waters today. North winds increasing to 10-15 kts behind the front will build seas up to 4-5 ft in the Gulf Steam. Winds veer east along the coast with the development of an east coast sea breeze this afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast. Tuesday-Friday...North winds into Tuesday gradually veer onshore into mid week, remaining 7-12 kts. Light winds then veer southward into Friday. Seas up to 5 ft in the Gulf Stream on Tuesday gradually subside, and seas become widely 2-3 ft by Wednesday evening. Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lightning storms are forecast on Tuesday with coverage following a downward trend each following day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 83 70 83 70 / 30 10 40 0 MCO 89 70 87 70 / 30 20 50 0 MLB 87 73 85 72 / 30 10 50 10 VRB 89 71 87 71 / 40 20 50 10 LEE 87 69 87 70 / 30 20 40 0 SFB 87 69 87 70 / 30 10 50 0 ORL 88 71 87 71 / 30 20 50 0 FPR 90 69 87 70 / 50 20 50 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ |
#1181001 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:21 AM 20.May.2024) AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 420 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...Early morning surface analysis has shown a weak cold front sinking into the Florida peninsula, reaching the I-4 corridor. Widely isolated showers developed overland this morning ahead of the boundary with most convective activity limited to the far offshore Atlantic waters. The front will continue to gradually track southward through the morning, moving south of Lake Okeechobee into the afternoon. Northerly winds behind the front are forecast to increase to around 10 mph, remaining light enough for an east coast sea breeze to develop. Only modest drying is forecast behind the weak front today with model guidance holding on to PWATs around 1.1- 1.4". This lingering moisture could be enough to spark convective activity as the sea breeze moves inland. The current forecast includes a 30 percent chance of showers and storms north of a line from Melbourne to Lake Marian. The greatest coverage of showers and storms lies south of this line (40-50%) where the sea breeze is forecast to interact with the Lake Okeechobee breeze. Surface instability in place could allow for a stronger storm. However, an inversion present above 700mb, warming 500mb temperatures (-8 C), and dry air aloft could all aid in limiting strong updraft growth. While strong storm development could be limited with some uncertainties, there remains a Marginal Risk for an isolated severe storm across Martin, southern Okeechobee and southern St. Lucie counties where surface instability will be maximized. Little relief from the heat behind the frontal boundary with afternoon temperatures ranging the mid to upper 80s along and north of the I-4 corridor, climbing into the low 90s southward. A few degrees cooler along the coast. Lingering moisture will promote Heat Index values in the mid to upper 90s across Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast. Tuesday...Mid level troughing settles across the western Atlantic, extending southwestward across the Florida peninsula. Weak surface troughing sits off the eastern coast of Florida while surface high pressure extends along the eastern seaboard into the Florida panhandle. Locally, light north-northeast flow will support development of an afternoon sea breeze. Once again, modest moisture remains in place to support scattered showers and lightning storms along developing mesoscale boundaries. Temperatures cool two to three degrees compared to Monday, with highs widely ranging the mid to upper 80s. Areas near Lake Okeechobee will be the warmest with highs forecast near 90 degrees. Wednesday-Sunday...Ridging over the western Gulf of Mexico slides eastward, extending into Florida. A short wave trough moving into the eastern CONUS will then work to flatten ridging in place by late week. The area of anomalous ridging aloft will support drying conditions and warming temperatures at the start of the extended period. Onshore flow continues to promote an east coast sea breeze regime Wednesday and Thursday with only an isolated mention of convection each afternoon. Surface flow begins to veer southerly Thursday night, returning moisture and a mention of scattered precip chances by the weekend. High temperatures in the upper 80s (coast) to lower 90s (inland) on Wednesday follow a warming trend each day into late week. High temperatures mostly in the mid 90s by Sunday. && .MARINE... Issued at 419 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Today-Tonight...A weak frontal boundary slides southward across the local waters today. North winds increasing to 10-15 kts behind the front will build seas up to 4-5 ft in the Gulf Steam. Winds veer east along the coast with the development of an east coast sea breeze this afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast. Tuesday-Friday...North winds into Tuesday gradually veer onshore into mid week, remaining 7-12 kts. Light winds then veer southward into Friday. Seas up to 5 ft in the Gulf Stream on Tuesday gradually subside, and seas become widely 2-3 ft by Wednesday evening. Scattered to numerous showers and scattered lightning storms are forecast on Tuesday with coverage following a downward trend each following day. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 134 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Continued mainly VFR across ECFL. Few nuisance showers across the interior initially and may handle with VCSH and a TEMPO group as necessary. Generally a WRLY component of wind thru the night, then gradually transitioning to NW/N around 10 kts into early afternoon ahead of a N/NNE wind surge that will increase speeds to 15-20 kts with higher gusts. We continue to carry VCSH wording early afternoon for many terminals, except VCTS for Treasure Coast terminals around 21Z on Mon, where confidence is higher for convection - closer proximity to a frontal boundary and deeper moisture here. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 83 70 83 70 / 30 10 40 0 MCO 89 70 87 70 / 30 20 50 0 MLB 87 73 85 72 / 30 10 50 10 VRB 89 71 87 71 / 40 20 50 10 LEE 87 69 87 70 / 30 20 40 0 SFB 87 69 87 70 / 30 10 50 0 ORL 88 71 87 71 / 30 20 50 0 FPR 90 69 87 70 / 50 20 50 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ |
#1180980 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:48 AM 20.May.2024) AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 136 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 134 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024 Continued mainly VFR across ECFL. Few nuisance showers across the interior initially and may handle with VCSH and a TEMPO group as necessary. Generally a WRLY component of wind thru the night, then gradually transitioning to NW/N around 10 kts into early afternoon ahead of a N/NNE wind surge that will increase speeds to 15-20 kts with higher gusts. We continue to carry VCSH wording early afternoon for many terminals, except VCTS for Treasure Coast terminals around 21Z on Mon, where confidence is higher for convection - closer proximity to a frontal boundary and deeper moisture here. && .UPDATE... Issued at 920 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024 The forecast remains on track across east central Florida tonight. A few lingering showers will continue moving offshore, diminishing across the local Atlantic waters overnight. Mostly dry conditions are then forecast to persist across the peninsula tonight, with westerly winds remaining around 5 mph. Patchy fog may develop late tonight into early Monday morning, particularly near the I-4 corridor and areas northward, but confidence in this was too low to include with the forecast. We will monitor overnight and make adjustments as needed. Temperatures will be a bit closer to normal values across east central Florida tonight, with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. && .MARINE... Issued at 405 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight...Weak frontal boundary pushes southward into the waters into tonight, with southerly winds around 10 knots veering and becoming west to northwest late in the night. Scattered strong to severe storms will continue across the waters, mainly south of Melbourne through sunset, and then convection will gradually diminish overnight. Can`t rule out some isolated storms developing and pushing offshore near to north of Melbourne though through this evening, which may also produce some strong gusts and small hail. Seas will range from 2-3 feet. This Week...(Modified Previous Discussion) Seas build up to 5-6 ft offshore late Monday night as surface winds veer NNE and briefly increase to around 15 kt. Seas will generally range 3-5 ft Tuesday and fall further mid to late week as high pressure builds over the waters. Rain and storm chances remain elevated on Monday before gradually tapering off mid to late week, as well. Winds NE on Tuesday, 10-15 kt, veering easterly Wednesday and beyond at or around 10 kt. The east coast sea breeze may locally increase wind speeds to around 15 kt each afternoon closer to the coast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 70 83 70 85 / 10 40 0 10 MCO 70 87 70 89 / 20 50 0 20 MLB 73 85 72 85 / 10 50 10 20 VRB 71 87 71 87 / 20 50 10 20 LEE 69 87 70 90 / 20 40 0 10 SFB 69 87 70 89 / 10 50 0 10 ORL 71 87 71 90 / 20 50 0 20 FPR 69 87 70 87 / 20 50 20 30 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ |
#1180964 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:27 AM 20.May.2024) AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 922 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 920 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024 The forecast remains on track across east central Florida tonight. A few lingering showers will continue moving offshore, diminishing across the local Atlantic waters overnight. Mostly dry conditions are then forecast to persist across the peninsula tonight, with westerly winds remaining around 5 mph. Patchy fog may develop late tonight into early Monday morning, particularly near the I-4 corridor and areas northward, but confidence in this was too low to include with the forecast. We will monitor overnight and make adjustments as needed. Temperatures will be a bit closer to normal values across east central Florida tonight, with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFs) Issued at 745 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024 VFR conditions forecast across all terminals overnight. Lingering VCTS near SUA will diminish by 01Z, with dry conditions elsewhere. Westerly winds overnight around 5 knots will pick up around 15Z out of the north-northwest around 10 knots. Gusts to 20 to 25 knots will be possible Monday afternoon, and VCSH cannot be ruled out across the interior terminals (MCO/ISM/SFB) and along the coast from TIX southward. Higher confidence in VCTS across the Treasure Coast terminals after 17Z. Conditions are forecast to improve after 22Z. && .MARINE... Issued at 405 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight...Weak frontal boundary pushes southward into the waters into tonight, with southerly winds around 10 knots veering and becoming west to northwest late in the night. Scattered strong to severe storms will continue across the waters, mainly south of Melbourne through sunset, and then convection will gradually diminish overnight. Can`t rule out some isolated storms developing and pushing offshore near to north of Melbourne though through this evening, which may also produce some strong gusts and small hail. Seas will range from 2-3 feet. This Week...(Modified Previous Discussion) Seas build up to 5-6 ft offshore late Monday night as surface winds veer NNE and briefly increase to around 15 kt. Seas will generally range 3-5 ft Tuesday and fall further mid to late week as high pressure builds over the waters. Rain and storm chances remain elevated on Monday before gradually tapering off mid to late week, as well. Winds NE on Tuesday, 10-15 kt, veering easterly Wednesday and beyond at or around 10 kt. The east coast sea breeze may locally increase wind speeds to around 15 kt each afternoon closer to the coast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 69 82 70 84 / 30 30 20 40 MCO 72 88 70 87 / 20 30 10 50 MLB 70 87 72 85 / 40 30 20 50 VRB 70 90 70 87 / 50 30 30 50 LEE 72 87 69 87 / 20 30 10 50 SFB 71 87 70 87 / 20 30 10 50 ORL 72 88 70 87 / 20 30 10 50 FPR 69 90 69 87 / 50 30 30 50 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ |