Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199530 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995
90L likely to form into a depression or storm today. Bermuda should watch it closely.
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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Mobile, AL (Mobile, AL Area) Selection: |
| #1242569 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:48 AM 23.Aug.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 A weak upper trough will maintain its hold on the weather pattern across the area through this weekend. At the surface, a weak boundary remains draped along the coast, providing a focus for afternoon convection. After a dry overnight period, scattered to numerous showers/storms will develop over our southern areas and then spread further inland. Coverage will be less than previous days and generally confined to areas along and east of I-65, with the axis of the trough bisecting the region. Given the lack of strong surface forcing, this activity will diminish around sunset as we lose our daytime heating. A second trough will begin to dig southward and into the Great Lakes Regions later today, amplifying on Sunday and effectively absorbing the trough currently over the area. A cold front will slowly move southeastward and through the region Sunday night, with dry air filtering into the region in its wake. North to northwesterly flow will persist through the first part of the new work week and then amplify on Wednesday as a secondary cold front drifts southward. No precip is expected with this front, but we`ll see our first glimpse of Fall as dewpoints plummet into the upper 50s across our northern areas to upper 60s along the coast. Temps will generally be near seasonal norms, with highs around 90s for the first half of the period and in the 80s for the latter half of the period. Meanwhile, overnight lows will go from the upper 60s to lower 70s through Sunday night and then fall into the lower to mid 60s by the end of the week. /73 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 MVFR visibilities persist at the KMOB terminal, but should begin to dissipate in the next hour or two. This will leave VFR conditions across the area through much of the forecast period. Thunderstorms will increase in coverage this afternoon, potentially impacting the terminals between 18Z and 22Z. Any storms will dissipate after sunset. /7. && .MARINE... Issued at 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 A generally light westerly to southwesterly flow pattern will be in place through Sunday. A light to moderate offshore flow prevails for Monday through Wednesday, briefly becoming southerly near shore Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. /73 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 92 73 93 72 94 68 90 66 / 50 20 20 10 10 0 10 0 Pensacola 91 76 91 75 93 71 90 69 / 50 30 30 10 10 0 10 0 Destin 88 76 90 77 92 73 90 71 / 60 30 30 20 10 0 10 0 Evergreen 93 70 93 69 94 62 90 63 / 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 94 71 93 69 92 64 88 64 / 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 Camden 91 70 89 69 90 62 86 63 / 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 89 71 92 71 93 65 90 64 / 60 30 30 10 10 0 10 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1242549 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:33 AM 23.Aug.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 ...New Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 A weak upper trough will maintain its hold on the weather pattern across the area through this weekend. At the surface, a weak boundary remains draped along the coast, providing a focus for afternoon convection. After a dry overnight period, scattered to numerous showers/storms will develop over our southern areas and then spread further inland. Coverage will be less than previous days and generally confined to areas along and east of I-65, with the axis of the trough bisecting the region. Given the lack of strong surface forcing, this activity will diminish around sunset as we lose our daytime heating. A second trough will begin to dig southward and into the Great Lakes Regions later today, amplifying on Sunday and effectively absorbing the trough currently over the area. A cold front will slowly move southeastward and through the region Sunday night, with dry air filtering into the region in its wake. North to northwesterly flow will persist through the first part of the new work week and then amplify on Wednesday as a secondary cold front drifts southward. No precip is expected with this front, but we`ll see our first glimpse of Fall as dewpoints plummet into the upper 50s across our northern areas to upper 60s along the coast. Temps will generally be near seasonal norms, with highs around 90s for the first half of the period and in the 80s for the latter half of the period. Meanwhile, overnight lows will go from the upper 60s to lower 70s through Sunday night and then fall into the lower to mid 60s by the end of the week. /73 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Afternoon thunderstorms are possible once again today, however coverage should be less than previous days. Low clouds may impact the terminals briefly this morning; however, confidence is not high enough to include in the TAFs. /73 && .MARINE... Issued at 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 A generally light westerly to southwesterly flow pattern will be in place through Sunday. A light to moderate offshore flow prevails for Monday through Wednesday, briefly becoming southerly near shore Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. /73 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 92 73 93 72 94 68 90 66 / 50 20 20 10 10 0 10 0 Pensacola 91 76 91 75 93 71 90 69 / 50 30 30 10 10 0 10 0 Destin 88 76 90 77 92 73 90 71 / 60 30 30 20 10 0 10 0 Evergreen 93 70 93 69 94 62 90 63 / 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 94 71 93 69 92 64 88 64 / 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 Camden 91 70 89 69 90 62 86 63 / 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 89 71 92 71 93 65 90 64 / 60 30 30 10 10 0 10 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1242539 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:33 AM 23.Aug.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1221 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 A weak upper trof lingers over the region through Saturday, then is absorbed into a large upper trof which evolves over the central and eastern CONUS. A weak surface trof over the forecast area moves into the marine area tonight, aided by a weak land breeze circulation, then returns Saturday into the coastal counties with the sea breeze. This cycle repeats Saturday night into Sunday while a surface low well off to the north (associated with the large upper trof) brings a cold front towards the area. The cold front moves through late Sunday night into early Monday morning and welcomes drier and cooler air into the region. Have gone with mostly chance to good chance pops on Saturday along and east of I-65 tapering to dry conditions over portions of Choctaw and Wayne counties. For Sunday, have gone with chance pops along and east of I-65 with slight chance pops elsewhere. Dry conditions are expected to prevail for Monday through Thursday, then slight chance to chance pops return for Friday. Highs on Saturday through Monday range from around 90 to the mid 90s, then highs trend cooler through Wednesday to the mid to upper 80s with similar highs for Thursday and Friday. Lows tonight through Sunday night typically range from around 70 well inland to the mid 70s at the coast. Lows Monday night and Tuesday night range from the mid 60s inland to the lower 70s at the coast, then Wednesday night looks to be the coolest night and ranges from the lower 60s well inland to around 70 at the coast. Lows Thursday night range from the mid 60s inland to the lower 70s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday. /29 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Afternoon thunderstorms are possible once again today, however coverage should be less than previous days. Low clouds may impact the terminals briefly this morning; however, confidence is not high enough to include in the TAFs. /73 && .MARINE... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 A generally light westerly to southwesterly flow pattern will be in place through Sunday. A light to moderate offshore flow prevails for Monday through Wednesday except for briefly becoming southerly near shore Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. No impacts are anticipated other than higher winds and seas near storms. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 72 93 72 94 69 91 68 88 / 20 30 10 10 0 10 10 10 Pensacola 76 92 75 93 72 91 71 89 / 30 40 20 10 0 10 10 10 Destin 77 90 77 92 74 90 73 89 / 40 40 20 10 0 10 10 10 Evergreen 70 94 70 94 65 92 65 88 / 20 30 10 0 0 0 10 10 Waynesboro 68 93 70 94 66 90 66 85 / 10 20 0 0 0 10 10 10 Camden 71 90 70 91 64 87 66 84 / 10 20 0 0 0 0 10 10 Crestview 71 92 71 93 67 91 66 88 / 30 40 10 10 0 10 0 10 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
