doug
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Aug 04 2011 09:34 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola

Want to blow your mind? Read the discussions posted on the site from Tampa, Miami and Key West forecasters discussing the forecasts into Saturday evening. The Key West is the most intriguing as he relies on GFS solution which opens the system into a wave. (Indeed it does, at least in the runs depicted on the FSU site). All this means to me right now is that Emily is not predictable, and won't be until the organization, re-organization cycles stop. Visually the system right now looks better than ever. Although still not consolidated, the convection clusters are at least closer to each other and seem to be gathering around a center, if only at some distances away. As yesterday was supposed to be a key day, today really should be a key day on the further genesis and future of this system.


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