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NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 214 PM EDT TUE OCT 04 2011 DAILY COORDINATION WITH THE NHC RESULTED IN AGREEMENT TO DEPICT A BROAD LOW OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL ORIGIN IN VICINITY OF (NW) CUBA and (WEST) OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR DAYS 6/7. ALTHOUGH SOLUTION SPREAD IS EXTREMELY HIGH WITH THIS POTENTIAL SYSTEM...CONTINUITY FOR ITS FORMATION FROM YESTERDAY'S MODELS IS GOOD WITH EVEN MORE DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MEMBER SOLUTIONS NOW ON-BOARD. THE BROAD NATURE OF ITS DEPICTION IS DUE TO THE VERY HIGH SPREAD WITH WHERE TO POSITION THE LOW WITH THE FINAL PROGS REPRESENTATIVE OF A GFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN BLEND. |