MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Jun 28 2014 09:41 PM
Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge

The models are still having some disagreement, but this is sliding between a high pressure to the north and a trough approaching, if it manages to sink south enough it'll wind up likely hanging offshore as a marine threat, and other than absolute coastal areas, you probably won't see much.

Model runs are still not that great on it, so it'll just have to be watched. Odds still favor it staying offshore, but it's not cut and dried. The coastal areas from the East coast of Florida from Central Florida up to North Carolina will want to keep an eye one it, but it's likely to not wind up as much (from observations right now). Hopefully recon flights tomorrow, and a few more model runs will start to help. But if it just sits offshore for days, it'll still drive forecasters crazy for a bit.

But the chances in the outlook are pretty spot on, pressures in the area are still very high, so near term, 24 hours or so, development is unlikely.



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