Fri Sep 11 2015 07:19 PM
Re: Grace Forecast Lounge

As of today, Sept. 11th, despite the ongoing abundance of shear in the region, Grace is still sort of holding its own as a tropical wave now centered very near Puerto Rico in the northeastern Caribbean, with most of its associated convection displaced well to the east of this apparent "center."

The Canadian Model (Global Environmental Multiscale Model, or GEM for short) is always a tool to use for a sort of "If there is any plausible chance something could develop, how could this happen, and how might this play out?" And so with the caveat that the GEM sometimes runs hot to extremely hot, the model does continue to regenerate what is left of Grace, now taking a then Hurricane Grace into the Carolinas next weekend. (Image courtesy Tropical Tidbits).

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