cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Nov 15 2016 11:07 AM
Re: 90L Forecast Lounge




Broad low pressure continues to develop slowly in the southwestern Caribbean with a 'center' presently analyzed to be located at 11.5N 77.5W but this is subject to change as the broad low is still very poorly defined, with multiple swirls.

The two more reliable global models, GFS and ECMWF, for the most part have been forecasting that this low becomes a tropical cyclone, possibly a strong one, by the end of the week, but differ on timing, intensity, location and direction. They will continue to struggle with this disturbance at least unless and until a true center forms.



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