cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sun Nov 20 2016 03:48 AM
Re: 90L Forecast Lounge

If shear could relax a little bit more, 90L should be able to consolidate a little better - and was very close during the morning hours of Saturday Nov 19 of doing so, and of being classifiable - but then it almost fell apart by evening.

As long as the low continues to battle shear and dry air, the more possible it becomes for one of the nearby competing lows to take prominence in the region. A few model runs actually develop two tropical cyclones out of this mess over the next 24-96 hours, with some even including a Fujiwhara effect for good measure.

At least as of predawn Sunday Nov 20, it still appears as if 90L will probably continue being the primary low in the region, with moderate odds of becoming a named storm provided it remains over water.




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