Wed May 16 2018 10:34 PM
Re: 2018 General Model Watching

I'm extremely skeptical of this, but the GFS and Euro are showing something trying to get going in the eastern Gulf/Cuba late next week, GFS extended has it becoming a hurricane and eventually moving into the Central Gulf toward Louisiana, but not before bringing a ton of rain to Florida. (Again) after going over the Keys and Southwest Florida as a Tropical Storm or hurricane on Sat the 26th. Euro has a strong low or Tropical Storm just north of the west tip of Cuba on Saturday 26 May. The exerimental FV3 GFS actually has it becoming a major hurricane landfalling in Alabama on May 28th.

I remain extremely skeptical about all this based on shearing conditions alone, but it is worth calling out as an area to watch late next week, at least for a lot more rain.

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