(Weather Hobbyist)
Mon Jun 04 2018 02:29 PM
Re: 2018 General Model Watching

GFS has been consistent the past several runs showing a weak low developing from a slug of moisture in the western Caribbean near the Yucatan Peninsula ejecting northeastward into the SW GOMEX around the 12th. The low closes off as it drifts toward the Florida on the 13th, then sets up camp for several days near Tampa Bay, funneling copious amounts of tropical moisture into peninsular Florida before opening up on the 16th. If this scenario plays out, central Florida will be in for another extended period of heavy rain well above what normally is generated by the typical summer sea breeze dominated pattern.

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