Fri Jul 06 2018 01:18 AM
Chris Lounge

Above: 96L July 6, 2018 0500z

A well-defined area of low pressure has formed northeast of the Bahamas, the latest in a succession of low pressure centers at various levels of the atmosphere which have been traveling some version of west from just off the east or southeast U.S. over several days. This cyclone is now being tracked as an Invest, 96L.

As of this initial entry, Invest 96L is located between the southeast coast and Bermuda. While mostly wanting for deep convection, conditions could easily become somewhat to very favorable for development over the next few days, and a tropical cyclone may form. Movement would most likely be generally west, then generally north to north-northeast, potentially putting coastal locations from the Mid Atlantic to Nova Scotia at some risk over the weekend and into next week of tropical storm, and perhaps even hurricane-force conditions, should development occur. (About 50/50 within 72 hours per NHC at time of this post).

As of 4PM EDT July 6, #96L has become a tropical depression, the third depression of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season, and the title has been updated accordingly. - Ciel

4AM EDT July 8 THREE has become a tropical storm - Ciel

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