cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sun Sep 01 2019 02:30 PM
Re: Gulf Low


Gulf Low (Not yet an official Invest) - Visible image with surface obs 09/01/1806z

Almost all attention is understandably being paid to Hurricane Dorian now, but this sprawling Low in the Gulf may be getting a little lost by many in the shuffle. As of 1806z today 09/01/19, the Low appears to be attempting to recenter closer to the mean of the gyre and within the deeper convection - which would now place it in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico, as opposed to just off the northern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Maximum sustained winds based on surface, buoy, ship, and scatterometer observations appear to be running close to 25 KNOTS, perhaps higher, and minimum pressure could be down around 1009mb. Conditions for further development are somewhat favorable, and movement is to the west (now possibly from the center of the Gulf of Mexico, which if realized, would place more of Texas in play later this week).

It seems plausible that this feature will be Invest tagged by Monday if current trends continue and we will update title and details as warranted.



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