Psyber
(Weather Guru)
Sat Sep 14 2019 03:02 PM
Re: 95L Lounge

Quote:

A decent blob of convection is being picked up on Melbourne,FL radar




Almost an eye at the 1730UTC visible but its weak and hidden by upper level clouds still. I don't think it's time yet for intensification to a hurricane. Pressure still high, wind creeping up but still just a TS.

It's good to see the NHC shift a bit north on Bermuda.

UPDATE

Here comes the intensification. Pressure dropping, winds are 65 and lets be honest, they're probably hitting 70 fairly regularly. Interesting that the NHC track has shifted the two day south a bit yet shifted the abrupt Northward track fairly significantly. Unfortunately it changes nothing for Bermuda as the net result has still kept it dead middle of the track.

Let's hope the strengthening is limited and it stays in the H1 to strong H1 category. Not much in it's way other than fairly warm water now.



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