Psyber
(Storm Tracker)
Tue Sep 15 2020 10:50 PM
Re: Sally Lounge

Probably no stronger and thankfully (I guess) it's been so slow and getting turned that it's not going to hit NO afterall.

The problem is the steering is all broken. Its in situation of moving so slowly that the potential landfall is about fifty miles wide which is freakish.

And the rainfall...it's going to be almost biblical because of how slow its moving and then like mort said, this frigging thing could dive into the Atlantic again at a depression or maybe even remnant, get some warm water, spin up and get pushed south again for another run at maybe Florida and if it's going south, unless it recurves in place, it's going to get pushed over the Florida Panhandle and POSSIBLY...very small percentage but it's POSSIBLE that this thing goes BACK into the GOM for ANOTHER shot.

This is truly a once in a lifetime hurricane. The behaviour, the bucking currents, the refusal to just spin and turn already. Man if this thing spins up and dives south again, geesh.

The freakish behavior generally occurs in larger hurricanes where they kind of make their own weather. Where they can just push their way through high-pressure troughs versus being forced to dry and then up and away.

And Paulette! 970mb/100MPH in water that isn't exactly a nice warm blanket and it's getting pushed back south into warmer waters. That cone could easily get pushed a bit more south and then back into the regular cycle of storms coming off Africa, across the ocean, into hot water and spin up. Talk about a freak of nature in it's own right.

98L isn't much of anything at the moment without much upper-level action but 99L sure is! They must be getting close to reclassifying 99L and giving us a Wilfred. With it only being mid September, the chances of us going into the greek Alphabet for naming must be pretty darn good.

Man, what a season!



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