Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Sun Nov 30 2014 11:13 PM
Re: Outlook for 2014 - The Final Tally

Although an El Nino did not develop, the Atlantic basin had below normal activity in 2014. The final storm totals were 8/6/2. In general, the site forecasts this year were a lot better than 2013. Here are the rating categories:

0 to -2 Outstanding - 1 forecast
-3 to -4 Excellent - 4 forecasts
-5 to -6 Good - 9 forecasts
-7 to -8 Fair - 3 forecasts
-9 to -15+ Hmmm - all the rest (3 forecasts)

beachcrafts -1
doug -3
ED -3
MikeC -4
Wingman51 -4
rmbjoe1954 -5
cieldumort -5
Glen Johnson -6
B.C.Francis -6
JoshuaK -6
gsand -6
MichaelA -6
IMTechspec -6
vpbob21 -6

Compared to the 2013 forecasts, 2014 was quite an improvement. Here is how the agencies did:

TSR -5
CSU -5

With a total of 9/5/2, 1979 was the best analog year. At the start of the New Year I'll start the 2015 Outlook and we'll try to keep on pace with the excellent forecasts that were made this year.

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