cieldumort
(Moderator)
Wed Jul 05 2017 09:12 PM
Re: Area of Interest - 94L

At 06/0Z, Invest 94L was located about about 900 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, near 12.5N 37.7W, with movement to the west-northwestward at around 10 to 15mph. Minimum pressure was estimated at 1010mb, and maximum sustained winds were down to about 25 MPH.

94L has been struggling with some dry air entrainments and slightly higher-than-expected easterly shear over the past day and a half, after having very nearly become a tropical storm. The incipient tropical cyclone has been straddling the line between being a tropical cyclone and not since then, but given the persistent weakening trend and meager convection, it is no surprise that NHC has not yet designated it.

The window for this tropical low to become a numberable depression or storm is closing, and it may only have until Friday night before encountering even higher shear and lower relative humidity. However, with reasonable 60% odds per NHC, it is still better than even money it becomes FOUR.



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