Thomas Giella
Sun Jun 11 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Shear vs Tropical Storm Alberto

Latest satellite imagery shows a very disorganized system. With wind shear continuing in the region T.S. Alberto still has an asymmetric appearance with all convection on it's right side far from the center. But now the low level circulation appears to be dissipating and the convection located far to the east is weakening.

From outward appearances T.S. Alberto is dying a slow death due to continued dry air entrainment and WSW-SW wind shear and is beginning to transition into a subtropical system. He will probably not make a landfall as a coherent tropical cyclone.

Fortunately for Florida if this trend continues it will reduce the probability of straight line wind damage and tornadoes with incoming feeder squalls. Unfortunately though the probability of drought busting widespread heavy rainfall is also less likely.

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