yeah, local.. i'd think that would sell it is a closed system. the latest TWO doesn't indicate any changes to the nhc thinking or acknowledge these obs... so i guess they're waiting on recon.
visibles... what looked like it might have been part of an llc this morning is out in front just a tad, as noted by steve h. right around 12.5/61.5. looks like it is barely closed. latest obs out of grenada are also light southwest winds. duh, it's closed. watch, recon will get there and it might have opened back up. that'd be the day. we've had a 30kt sfc ob from st. lucia... this thing is definitely t.d. 5 and possibly also tropical storm ernesto.
franklin is at the nhc helm right now. it'll have to jump through all of his hoops to get the nod, and he's probably the most conservative guy that does advisories, with the most exhaustive criteria.
HF 1551z24august

yeah, there aren't just one or two reports of westerly winds like normal, but more like four or five stations that have reported them. all have been from west to south.. none reporting nw winds and that may be the only hang up. of course, now that the center is out in front a bit it may not have enough "organized deep convection." should get a vortex message within a couple hours, if we're to get one. -HF