Sun Sep 10 2006 12:52 AM
Re: Model update...

Did someone hit the perma-snooze button today?

Florence looks pretty sickly tonight. Convection-wise, she has looked alright, with cloud tops even approaching -90C. However, so much of her has been getting drawn northward, that given her rather broad and oblong coc to begin with, I can hardly fathom her being upgraded to a hurricane in the immediate future. To make matters even worse for her, the eastern semi-circle has just had a slice taken out of it tonight, as readily seen here (time sensitive)... Despite what NHC has had to say about the prospects for intensification, the shear appears to be a bit worse than anticipated and/or analyzed, perhaps

Recon going back in here shortly will hopefully help the next advisory come across more like science, and less like card reading.

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