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Hard to tell looking at only infrared sat, but it does appear as if Ida is improving her structure and the convection is now trying to wrap around the circulation center. Ida may be moving a little east of the forecast track and heading for the area of best possible development south of Cuba. It will be intersting to see what she looks like when we get visible back in the morning. I think she has potential to reach Cat 1 before the conditions turn more hostile and drop her back to TS level. It seems the biggest question is going to be if Ida gets caught up in the frontal boundary or is forced to circle back south. Circling back may be the best result for Florida since she will probably get torn apart over time. |