MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Aug 28 2015 09:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings Up for Central Bahamas for Erika

Quote:

Nice catch. It looked more and more like an open wave to me, even with the convective bloom. This clearly shows a mid or low level circulation.




Those microwave images tend to pick up the mid levels, so mid level circulation. It's not a "sudden eye", more just curiously shaped at the moment. However, it means Erika hasn't completely fallen apart, which means it has a shot at strengthening if it does clear the islands. If it were actually like that at the surface, I'd be very shocked.

The other interesting bit, looking at older images from that, it seems to be on the WNW/NW path now (at least at the mid levels) If that holds a few more hours, it may clip just the extreme eastern part of Cuba, and make tomorrow a lot more critical.





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