Sun Aug 28 2016 10:03 PM
Re: TD#9 Forms, Suddenly Lots of Activity From Hawaii to Atlantic


Why do you have to put that last sentence in telling us to be aware of the changes in this system? It's unnecessary. I'm sure everyone here already knows that when an unpredictable system like this one moves into the Gulf, it means trouble and deserves constant attention.

Typically on the front page we reiterate things since events like this bring a lot of new people or random people just searching for basic info, it's also why we usually keep the model runs and speculation in the forecast lounge. If you've followed it for a while you know not to take a doomsday model runs seriously (or inversely one that shows it weak without consistency), but watch for the trends and persistence. Sometimes things are a bit more clear, slow moving systems, or generally disorganized ones tend not to be. It's never a guarantee, but confidence levels do change. And confidence with TD#9 is just lower than usual, unless you were following closely you may not know that.

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
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