Some of the latest Infrared Imagery shows a blob of convection firing up around what may be a (albiet weak) circulation center of some kind, can't tell if it's either H/M/L, but as of 01:45 UTC satellite shot it seemed to be centered at about 16.8N and 66.8W. Still a lot of shear going on though. But it's still kicking.
I think that CMC and NOGAPS are on to something in the central carib. firing up next week... Upper level winds looks to be more favorable for tropical development... although GFS is stil kinda quiet until a week plus down the road. NOGAPS to me has down pretty good so far this season, esp. in the east pacific...
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