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News Talkback >> 2018 News Talkbacks

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cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1667
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Hurricanes Chris, Beryl and More
      #99342 - Tue Jul 10 2018 02:52 PM



An active month of July continues, with recon now finding Chris a hurricane. Fortunately, nearly all reliable guidance takes Hurricane Chris north-northeast to northeast away from the U.S., but the cyclone could continue to produce some serious rip current risks along the eastern seaboard.

Another Low to the northeast of Chris is weak, and significant development is not expected, although it could have some influence on the path Chris takes.

Southeast of Chris, the low pressure remains of former Hurricane Beryl continue struggling, but a new mid-level center may be trying to form along the northern portion of this trough. Interests in the region should continue to monitor this disturbance closely, and stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center for updates. NHC odds of 20% within 48 hours/50% within 5 days, and these odds could be going up.

Finally, way, way, way out in the Tropical Atlantic, an active portion of the ITCZ is worth keeping an eye on, as despite Sea Surface Temps running well below average in the Tropical Atlantic so far this seasaon, African Easterly Waves have been busier and friskier than usual.

For Chris model talk and more check out the Hurricane Chris Lounge

For more Beryl model talk, go beyond the cone with us in the Beryl Lounge.


Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Charleston, SC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Wilmington, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Morehead City, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Norfolk/Wakefield, VA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Area Forecast Discussions: Charleston, SC - Wilmington, NC - Morehead City, NC - Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads, VA

Canadian Hurricane Centre

Beryl Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Beryl - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Beryl


stormplotthumb_2.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float2latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Beryl (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Beryl (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Beryl

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Beryl
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Beryl -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Chris Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Chris - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Chris


stormplotthumb_3.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float3latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Chris (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Chris (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Chris

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Chris
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Chris -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Eastern NC/OBX/Hampton Roads Media:

Star News Online (Wilmington)

Outer Banks Sentinel

Hampton Roads Pilot

WWAY TV 3 Wilmington, NC (ABC)

WECT TV 6 Wilmington, NC (NBC)

Fox Wilmington (FOX)

WILM TV 10 Wilmington, NC (CBS)

WITN 7 - Eastern North Carolina TV (NBC)

WCTI 12 - Eastern North Carolina (ABC)

WNCT TV 9 - Eastern North Carolina (CBS)

Wavy 10 (NBC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA TV

WTKR 3 (CBS) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA

WVEC 13 (ABC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Jul 14 2018 02:39 PM)


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cieldumortModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1667
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Re: Hurricane Chris, xBeryl and More [Re: cieldumort]
      #99343 - Fri Jul 13 2018 11:50 AM



The remnants of Beryl are struggling to organize. At the surface, a circulation exists that is very elongated. Convection is also stretched, from well south to well north of the "center." Odds of redevelopment are going down, but the system does still produce an area of stout winds on its eastern side, and widespread showers and a few storms, which are expected to affect Bermuda tomorrow.

Bermuda Weather Service:
Quote:

The Bermuda-Azores high will maintain fair skies through most of this afternoon. A developing low pressure system to our west may bring 1 or 2 showers late this afternoon and evening. Expect showers with a risk of thunder and increasing winds on Saturday as the low passes west of Bermuda. Conditions begin gradually improving later on Sunday as high pressure nudges back.




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cieldumortModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1667
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Re: Hurricane Chris, xBeryl and More [Re: cieldumort]
      #99344 - Fri Jul 13 2018 01:33 PM

Invest-Beryl Visible image at mid-day Friday July 13



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