lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 219
Loc: Fort Myers, FL 26.58N 81.78W
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10N 40W looks more interesting than 92L. Water Vapor
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc: 28.60N 81.35W
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Quote:
I presently live in the western upstate part of SC and own a home in Orlando as well, which I was planning on going to this weekend. I just looked at the map of 92L and I am having flashbacks. I know tropical is nothing compared to a category 5 but after going through 10 days without power or water one feels compelled to panic. If this storm does hit the spacecoast think it will already be advanced to a hurricane by then?
I don't think 92L is going to be a "Charley" event. As a matter of fact, most Floridians if they are honest would tell you that we will lay out the welcome mat for a tropical low to come visit us. We are so hot and dry here and desperately need something to give us some relief.
Come on down to Florida, the weather is Hot / Humid and the AC is on !!
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1369
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
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just an early forecast guess.. with the data i have and looked at, i'm inclined to think this is a east coast system IF IT DEVELOPES.... to where, i am not quite sure yet... South Florida would be first choice... I'm still thinking the wave coming through the Islands to south of 92L is what some models were picking up on the last few days...
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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gsand
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 13
Loc: Palm Bay, FL 28.00N 80.38W
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I'm curious about the following loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html
Last frame it appears to me that there is a center around 19N 72W, not farther N. Anyone else see this and am I right? I admit to having a lot to learn.
If true, and if it develops, then I'd say this might be a Keys or S Florida event.
Edited by gsand (Tue Aug 21 2007 08:51 AM)
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JAH
Registered User
Reged: Thu
Posts: 3
Loc: W.Melbourne, FL 28.07N 80.67W
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gsand,
Welcome!!!
What you are looking at is an upper level low. Tropical systems are lower level low pressure systems.
The circulation in a lower level low is near the surface of the ocean. That's what feeds a tropical system.
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allan
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida 29.55N 81.20W
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Actually the only reason why 92L is not going anywhere (development wise) is becasue the wake of Dean is hindering it. Shear is only 5-10 knots and it's in a very favorable environment.. once Dean is out of it's way, i'm 99.5% positive that this will develop given to the current conditions it is in.. so don't write it off yet, just wait and see what will happen in a few days.
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Allan Reed - 18,9,5
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invest1
Unregistered
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92l is now history as of unless something happens to spin up on something left behind by the ULL that has according to the wv loop has made a mess out of that whole area. Other area's of question is this mass S of 15n around 49w. Does anyone have data on whether this area has any low associated with it because it has not been mentioned by as of yet. Also, there seems to be a blob of moisture being left behind Dean to the E-SE of his location. I only bring this up as a question to whether it is possible for something to develop in Deans wake, becasue the way I see the wv loop, if the ULL to its N clears it would seem to want to move poleward. Any thoughts? I1
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