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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 46 (Nate) , Major: 64 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #93925 - Tue Sep 04 2012 08:56 PM

Leslie is looking well put together tonight. Has the storm finally stacked vertically? The outflow is not that obvious on the colored infrared satellite. With the forward speed at just 3mph it is showing a potential to increase in intensity. The shear does not seem as great tonight as in the recent past either.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #93926 - Tue Sep 04 2012 09:05 PM

The LLC is still on the southern side of the convection, so it is still tilted vertically. The shear is relaxing in the region and with the slow forward movement, Leslie could be getting its act together in the next few days.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge [Re: MichaelA]
      #93934 - Wed Sep 05 2012 02:04 PM

It would seem that Leslie is now a 75mph hurricane according to the NHC. So will she get stronger?

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #93935 - Wed Sep 05 2012 02:25 PM

The NHC forecast is for Leslie to strengthen to very near Cat 3 strength within 3 days as it moves generally northward affecting Bermuda. Looking at the satellite loops this afternoon, Leslie does appear to have strengthened and become vertical with convection now wrapped around the LLC. In the current low shear environment, yes, Leslie will become better organized and strengthen.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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