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The latest model runs suggest Florida and the Southeast coast up to Cape Cod should pay VERY close attention to #Matthew.
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 29 (Hermine) , Major: 3994 (10 y 11 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 29 (Hermine) Major: 3994 (10 y 11 m) (Wilma)
13.3N 72.5W
Wind: 160MPH
Pres: 941mb
Moving:
W at 7 mph
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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1235
Loc: South Florida
Which models...re: wave east of islands
      #13661 - Tue Oct 07 2003 05:00 PM

?? please give details


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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida 27.92N 82.00W
Re: Which models...re: wave east of islands
      #13662 - Tue Oct 07 2003 06:11 PM

The ULL in the mid-Carribean is forecast to drift west with High Pressure to build behind creating a better enviroment for development. The GFL model tries to develop a tropical system and move it over PR and into the Bahamas.

Looking at the Sat pics it appears that the convection is expanding west which up till today has been supressed by a circulation over Northern SA and a trough in the mid-Atlantic. The trough is suppose to slip out that while the North SA feature is suppose to weaken.

Thats the best I can do. I'm waiting for HanKFranK or Steve to come on and explain it better.

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Jara

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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC 33.56N 81.82W
Re: Which models...re: wave east of islands
      #13663 - Tue Oct 07 2003 06:18 PM

ha! you've got it covered, man.. best as i could. steve would probably say something different/better, 'cause he's got bastardi's ideas to play over in his mind at any given time.
i've been watching the basin shear.. it's up to where nothing can easily get going most everywhere.. in this environment only a NE-moving system would get very strong.. unless the overall shear decides to drop off again. usually when it gets up like this.. season is about finished.
HF 2218z07october


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