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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 59 (Maria) Florida - Any: 69 (Irma) Major: 69 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Looks like TD 20 will become Odette
      #14017 - Thu Dec 04 2003 01:00 PM

TD 20 sure looks impressive. I'll bet the hurricane hunters do find TS winds this afternoon. Some year, huh? Ana in April and Odette??? in December. Happy Holidays and Happy Tracking at the same time.

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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Dec 05 2003 10:49 AM)


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MoparMitch
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 28
Loc: Atlanta, GA
Re: Looks like TD 20 will become Odette
      #14018 - Thu Dec 04 2003 01:18 PM

(Off topic post removed by Moderator)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Dec 05 2003 10:51 AM)


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Brad in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 365
Dvorak numbers 2.5
      #14019 - Thu Dec 04 2003 01:23 PM

Dvorak numbers 2.5; they were 1.5 six hours earlier.

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garyb
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 106
Loc: Hernando Beach,Fl
TROPICAL STORM ODETTE IS BORN
      #14020 - Thu Dec 04 2003 01:53 PM

TROPICAL STORM ODETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N 78.1W


ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL202003



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

12UTC 04.12.2003 12.6N 78.1W WEAK

00UTC 05.12.2003 13.5N 77.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 05.12.2003 14.3N 77.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 06.12.2003 15.3N 76.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 06.12.2003 16.3N 75.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 07.12.2003 16.9N 74.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 07.12.2003 17.1N 72.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 08.12.2003 17.1N 71.7W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY

12UTC 08.12.2003 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH







THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK


TOO 041833


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
66 Tempest
      #14021 - Thu Dec 04 2003 01:55 PM


As of 1:00, our tempest is still just a TD. I'll bet by 5:00 if not 11:00 we have Odette. That will make 15 TS or Hurricanes in one season. Busting everyone's forecasts in the process.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Dec 05 2003 10:52 AM)


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garyb
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 106
Loc: Hernando Beach,Fl
Re: 66 Tempest
      #14022 - Thu Dec 04 2003 02:04 PM

LI Phil, see my post above and check NRL

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
My Bad
      #14023 - Thu Dec 04 2003 02:09 PM

I checked with Weather Underground, not NRL. My bad...should always go to the source.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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garyb
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 106
Loc: Hernando Beach,Fl
NHC BULLETIN NO longer valid
      #14024 - Thu Dec 04 2003 02:11 PM

BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1 PM EST THU DEC 04 2003



...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE TO CHECK IF THE CYCLONE HAS BECOME

TROPICAL STORM ODETTE...



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI.



A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST

OF SANTO DOMINGO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...

ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLANDS AND SAMANA CAY AND FOR THE TURK AND

CAICOS ISLANDS.



AT 1 PM...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL

STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA.



TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED FOR EASTERN CUBA

LATER TODAY.



AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST OR ABOUT

300 MILES...485 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.



THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH

...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE

NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CYCLONE WILL BE NEARING HAITI AND

THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON FRIDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING A

TROPICAL STORM. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE

INTENSITY OF THE CYCLONE THIS AFTERNOON



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES..



RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER

AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION.



REPEATING THE 1 PM EST POSITION...13.8 N... 76.0 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.



FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.



THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE National Hurricane Center AT

4 PM EST.



FORECASTER AVILA



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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 943
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: NHC BULLETIN NO longer valid
      #14025 - Thu Dec 04 2003 03:16 PM

HMMM!!! Moving NNE and we have low pressure zipping along the gulf coast, amd some indication of a coastal storm developing off GA...any thoughts of the heat/energy from Odette being caught up into that and firing off a really big NE'er this weekend? EDS

--------------------
doug


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
NOW it's TS Odette
      #14026 - Thu Dec 04 2003 03:55 PM


Odette is now officially Odette, as of the 4:00 update. Fifteenth named storm of the year. I sure as h--- hope Odette doesn't just add to my weekend misery.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Dec 05 2003 10:54 AM)


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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA 30.00N 90.14W
Re: NOW it's TS Odette
      #14028 - Thu Dec 04 2003 04:12 PM

2003 has been pretty amazing. We had an April and a December storm. StormsFury at S2K did some research and found 1 year that also had post and pre season acitivity. I think that was 1867 (Civil War era).

If I don't get back with everyone, and Kevin, be sure to check the Everything and Nothing forum at least by Monday, have a great Christmas/New Years.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Dec 05 2003 10:57 AM)


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Lisa NC
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 102
Loc: North Carolina
Re: NOW it's TS Odette
      #14032 - Thu Dec 04 2003 06:22 PM

Lil my thought when I saw this was the Oct 1991 storms, ( the Perfect Storm). I think the next system to come across may catch TS

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<img src="/hahn/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" />


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troy2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
Re: NOW it's TS Odette
      #14034 - Thu Dec 04 2003 10:50 PM

was watching that sucker all last week. For a bit I thought she was dieing out. But she came back.

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