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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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AgentB
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 179
Loc: Ormond Beach, FL
Re: 11 PM Discussion out also [Re: Unregistered User]
      #30686 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:24 PM

One thing I just noticed on some impromtu notes I had taken were the various coordinates from the 5am discussions. Yesterday's(9/22) had Jeanne located at 26.1N/70.5W Remember this track still had her off the coast of Florida. Today's(9/23) had her 26.0N/75.9W And was bringing in her into/right off the coast of Florida. Right now she's at 26.1N/70.8W, a lot closer to the 5AM forecast from yesterday versus today.

--------------------
Check the Surf


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javlin
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
Re: Cantore [Re: LI Phil]
      #30687 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:27 PM

Frank you got some fine dogs even if they do sleep when yea knock.

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RickInRockledge
Unregistered




Re: 11 PM Discussion out also [Re: Lake Toho - Kissimmee]
      #30688 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:27 PM

Well, that 30 mile adjustment to the east means a 200 mile difference in where it makes landfall.. before it was coming inland further at Ft Pierce area (again) and raking alot of the east coast with the "bad" side of the storm. The 11:00 pm shows none of the FL east coast getting the worst side of it. Yes, it's subject to change, but that shows how a "small" adjustment can make a huge difference thanks to the geographic angle of FL and Jeane's approach.

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: We need some humor tonight [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #30689 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:27 PM

Quote:

New Florida license plate, see attachment.




ROFLMFAO.

I actually tried to get a New Yawk custom plate, along those same lines, to read

"Pha-Que"

when you space it FAQ it reads more like "frequently asked questions" rather than the intended "Fa" "kew" get it?

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1364
Loc: Florida
Phil...you're so BAD! [Re: LI Phil]
      #30690 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:31 PM

Quote:

Dr. Steve doesn't miss a trick does he?




Nope, he's Johnny-On-The-Spot....LOL

BTW...did you see MSNBC'S "Anatomy of a Hurricane"? They had Dr. Steve on and one of the other Severe Weather Experts on, just sitting there talking to each other...it was so ...so....scripted. It reminded me of the phone call between Al Gore/Joe Lieberman and Tom Daschle and Richard WhatEverHisNameIs during the 2000 Election Fiasco. Actually, though, Dr. Steve came across better in the sit-down situation than he does on TV. I just don't think he is a "TV Person" like John Hope was. Gosh I miss that man.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1096
Loc: fl
Re: Phil...you're so BAD! [Re: Colleen A.]
      #30691 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:34 PM

well your right colleen,,dont know really what to say, but how fast to the west,,,,10mph or 12 or 15?

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1364
Loc: Florida
Re: Cantore [Re: AgentB]
      #30692 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:34 PM

I swear I didn't read your post before I posted mine...it almost looks as though that High is slamming the door...fast.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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MIAMIFL
Unregistered




QUESTION ABOUT SPAGETTI MODEL [Re: Colleen A.]
      #30694 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:37 PM

Does anyone know when the updated spagetti model will post?

GEMS Material...well intentioned and I will work on it, but priceless nonetheless!

Edited by LI Phil (Thu Sep 23 2004 11:38 PM)


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Thanks Jav... [Re: javlin]
      #30695 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:39 PM

Normally I would have to put a contract out on someone for bad mouthing my dogs... (i.e., Phil and his reference to Cantore not liking Bassets) but tonight I'll take exception and give him the benefit of the doubt.... hehe

I'm sure Jim C would love my hound dawgs.....

will say this, the latest NHC forecast is a little closer to where I forecasted Jeanne to hit... space coast (Titusville or areas north... and perhaps not south)... we'll see how much the track changes in the am...


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: QUESTION ABOUT SPAGETTI MODEL [Re: MIAMIFL]
      #30696 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:41 PM

Spaghetti model, but it's quite old and shouldn't be used as a reference point...

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Ivan and Texas [Re: MIAMIFL]
      #30697 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:41 PM

For the TEXANS on the board.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION Ivan LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1002 PM CDT THU SEP 23 2004

...RAINFALL...
HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION Ivan'S PRIMARY IMPACT ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

PRECIPITATION IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS NEAR BEAUMONT IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY SPREAD WEST AND NORTHWEST AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION Ivan MOVES NORTHWEST.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTER THE CENTER OF Ivan MOVES WELL INLAND. EXPECT
WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF Ivan
TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT

Removed Medina County Flash Flood warning-Not associated with Ivan--editor

Edited by danielw (Thu Sep 23 2004 11:48 PM)


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Re: 11 PM Discussion out also [Re: RickInRockledge]
      #30698 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:44 PM

Everyone is reading the track as a straight line point to point. The track will actually be a gradual turn from W to NW between those points right along the Florida coastline, so it looks as if it doesn't come ashore until it hits the Cape Canaveral area. This is NOT true, a rounded track will show it makes landfall down near Jupiter to Stuart/PSL area. I wish the NHC or Skeetobite or anyone could show those rounded turns instead of straight lines. It is especially important in this case as the storm is turning right at the coastline. Our local TV station actually showed this correctly. Does anyone see what I am saying?

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1364
Loc: Florida
Forward Speed [Re: scottsvb]
      #30699 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:48 PM

Well, if you read the discussion, they didn't actually say HOW much faster, but if it's at 6mph now, I would think that they expect it to pick up to maybe 8-10 mph. I highly doubt that they would say an "increase in forward motion is expected" meaning 6.5 to 7mph. I'm looking for more than that...

I'm hungry, and debating on whether to have an apple or an apple.

OMG...I'm watching Jay Leno and he just did the most hilarious clip of a press conference the President had today where he asked, "Is anyone here from CBS?" and a guy raised his hand and then they show fake SS agents beating the crap out of him, then they pan back to W who's kinda looking on (I saw the PC, he was actually listening to a question) like, "Okay." It was hysterical.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
Re: We need some humor tonight [Re: LI Phil]
      #30700 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:48 PM

Hey everyone from here in finally dried out Atlanta.....

First, can SOMEONE please send Mother Nature a jumbo strength Midol, cause she must be seriously PMS'sing.....

Second, thanks for posting that story on JC. I did not know all about his family and their health problems, and it's amazing that our local fish wrapper(Atlanta Journal-Constitution) hasn't picked up on that one.

Third, Glenn Burns from WSB-TV here in Atlanta showed the full track of Ivan from when it made landfall in Ala/Fla to the "carousel" like movement around the High Pressure to it's current status. He stated that he's never seen anything like it before and hopes to not see anything like it again.

Finally, the "Hurricane Checklist" is hilarious as well as the new license plate for Florida. Although I did see the checklist on Neal Boortz' website a couple of weeks ago....

TTFN

--------------------
You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!


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Kent
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale 26.43N 80.33W
Re: 11 PM Discussion out also [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #30701 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:54 PM

Have any of you guys in SE Fla noticed how skinny our weathermen are getting?

seriously. They all look thinner...Brian Norcross, Roland Stedham, Bill Camall, Bob Soaper all of em look frail to me.

(I know I spelled their names wrong but you know who I am talking about at least)


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Fletch
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 121
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: 11 PM Discussion out also [Re: Kent]
      #30704 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:57 PM

Quote:

Have any of you guys in SE Fla noticed how skinny our weathermen are getting?

seriously. They all look thinner...Brian Norcross, Roland Stedham, Bill Camall, Bob Soaper all of em look frail to me.

(I know I spelled their names wrong but you know who I am talking about at least)




It's the Jackie Johnson effect. Everyone wanted skinnier Weather models, they didn't realize they were speaking of the women only. Have you seen the porn star (women) they have on in the AM.

--------------------
Irwin M. Fletcher


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javlin
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
Re: CMC 00Z run [Re: Colleen A.]
      #30705 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:58 PM

The CMC run has shifted way E keeping Jeanne off the FL coast till quite a bit further N.Have to see if the NOGAPS does the same.
http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html
The CMC is finally dealing with Ivan throwing him back into the GOM.I think JBis right on this one.

Edited by javlin (Fri Sep 24 2004 12:02 AM)


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Fletch
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 121
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: 11 PM Discussion out also [Re: Kent]
      #30706 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:59 PM

By the way, anyone with Dolphin/Steeler tix, they are thinking of moving the game to Sat night.

--------------------
Irwin M. Fletcher


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1364
Loc: Florida
Here's Some Humor You Can't Refuse... [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #30707 - Thu Sep 23 2004 11:59 PM

Here's some humor: I turned 39 today (for the first time) and now I can officially say that I have arthritis.

Some more: at my oldest son's game last weekend, the "waterboy" who was carrying the 2-ton water sprayers that I use to spray down the kids (and coaches as needed) dropped the doggone thing on my toe! OUCH! However, it didn't really hurt until later on......
While watching the Miss USA pageant I decided to put my old modeling moves into play...and while twirling around the kitchen like an elephant, I missed my mark (by like a 1/2 mile) and promptly stubbed aforementioned toe into the refrigerator.
Now I know why my father didn't name me after his sister:

GRACE



--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Meanwhile back at the Batcave [Re: Fletch]
      #30708 - Fri Sep 24 2004 12:00 AM

Recon is airborne. About an hour ETA to Jeanne. Should be there around 05-06Z.
They are tasked with a 0600Z center fix.

Edited by danielw (Fri Sep 24 2004 12:02 AM)


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