Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205500.shtml?3day
This is what you want to look at as far as the cone and keep checking www.nhc.gov for updates
Also the left side of our main page will show you this...but always check the .
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
Edited by Storm Cooper (Fri Jul 08 2005 12:22 AM)
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Steve Hirschb.
Unregistered
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The other Rule #1: Never try to prove your mother-in-law wrong!!!!!!!!!!!
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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You can see the official cone here. http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2005&storm=4
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Jim
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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
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Quote:
can someone please inform me whether tampa is still in the cone ....my mother in law saw on tv that we are out of the cone....i want to prove her wrong....she said shes not evacuating if we have to...well she lives with us and if need be my husband, daughter and myself will be leaving.... 
Go to the link: the cone extends into west-central FL
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205500.shtml?3day
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RJB
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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believe me she doesnt scare me...;)...hehe....we are both pisces we butt heads alot....lol
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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schmee
Unregistered
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Colleen and Lysis,
No offense meant as I know you both know alot more tha me but...
If N.O. is still in the cone, don't people still need to be prepared. I'm not saying he's right at all but but I don't think its right to say N.O. is in the clear till its out of the cone.
Sorry...just wanted to voice that.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Brett...sorry if it sounded like I wasn't taking this seriously. I am, believe me. I went through all 3 storms last year with the exception of and I am not looking forward to another one.
Just every once in a while, though, it's good for the soul to laugh out loud.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Brett
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 41
Loc: Miami, Florida
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Of course, you are right. N.O. is not in the clear by any means, and I doubt that is what Colleen meant. The point is that we all need to keep a close eye...the next 12 hours are crucial. Any mets out there with comments on the surrounding atmospherinc trends? Is the high holding up?
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South Florida
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stormchazer
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
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Quote:
Colleen and Lysis,
No offense meant as I know you both know alot more tha me but...
If N.O. is still in the cone, don't people still need to be prepared. I'm not saying he's right at all but but I don't think its right to say N.O. is in the clear till its out of the cone.
Sorry...just wanted to voice that.
If you are in the GOM coast from LA east, be prepared. The jury is still out.
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Jara
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BJG
Unregistered
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After the drama last year, I would strongly suggest any people living up the west coast and around the pan handle to fill up NOW and not wait. The gas stations seem to always run out of gas real early.
I'm also convinced that this storm is either wobbling or turning more NNW than NW, any thoughts?
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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97779 23074 51250 91100 88400 99005 78//8 /6973
RMK AF300 0604A OB 11
DEW POINT NEG 51C.
Someone sent me a link and I tried to decode this manually....
97779 It says this report was made by an aircraft with radar capability.
23074 It was done on 7/7 at 23:07 UTC (7:07 PM EST) with dewpoint capability with the aircraft below 10000 m.
51250 91100 It was done on Thursday with the aircraft located at 25.0 N and 91.1 W Boy, that makes no sense... maybe they meant 71.1 W (The 91100 part can't be)? There was no turbulance and the conditions were clear.
84400 The pressure altitude of the aircraft was 884 decameters... (what a useful unit, huh?) which is... well, not the same as meters as this website implies, so I'm confused again. 884 decameters would be 8840 meters and 29k feet. The wind is spot wind, which was obtained using dopplar radar or inertial systems.
99005 Again, this makes no sense... the 99 should represent the wind direction, but you have to add a zero after it, and well, 990 is silly... and that would also mean the windspeed was 5 kts... It can't be the temperature either, as 99 C would be insane, too. So, it seems I am stuck, and the 78//8 part makes no sense either.
/6973 This indicated a pressure group. It was done at the 300 mb level in geopotential decameters (huh? I get the 300mb part, but what does geopotential decameters mean?) Sealevel pressure is 973 mb.
I didn't even make it to the dew point part, since the temp data seems messed up... Where did I go wrong?
Edited to apologize for my need to understand everything I read....
P.S. That link, http://www.hurricanehunters.com/recco.htm says a language remark can be added to state the actual dew point... So, that brings us back to a negative dew point... Again, dew point is the temp required for saturation... something that shouldn't be negative in a storm.
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Terra Dassau Cahill
Edited by Terra (Fri Jul 08 2005 12:35 AM)
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Brett
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 41
Loc: Miami, Florida
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No worries Colleen! I can appreciate lightening things up a bit. I just wish we had a better handle on things. Anyone else remember a storm with such frequently shifting models?
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South Florida
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Storm Cooper
User
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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Most all of them 
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
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Quote:
I don't remember if I read this on MidAtlanticWX or in one of the discussions from , but I DO remember reading that it could get down as low as 931mb. The way we're going, we might hit that tonight. 
Pressure now 951 mb (28.02) - is quickly approaching the pressure of Hurricane Opal (min. 942 mb, 27.82) - after that it wont have far to go to pass Hugo (934 mb, 27.54) - of course, if it gets to 922 mb, we can put our head between our knees & .......... 922 mb was Andrews Min Pressure
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RJB
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I didn't say that N.O. is in the clear...what I SHOULD have said is that his idea that it will skirt the entire coast of Cuba (missing land entirely) going WNW was simply ridiculous. He might be a good met, but to be that far away from the official track is a little absurd.
No offense taken, BTW. Just state things as I see them. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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pcola
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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Tried to fill up here in Pcola (Gulf Breeze) and most stations were out of gas waiting on trucks.
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Use the link posted by stormhunter on the Cuba radar loop...
http://www.met.inf.cu/Radar/03Cienfuegos/cienfuegosa.gif
and you can see for yourself what direction he is going...
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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pretty picture few hours ago
http://www.esl.lsu.edu/quicklinks/hurricanes/2005/DENNIS/images/050707.1542.t01.jpg
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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schmee
Unregistered
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sorry..its just that we are taking this seriously in N.O. until we are sure that its not coming.
Its scary to think of all the people who simply couldnt leave and would be in great danger.
I'm praying it doesnt come here and that by some chance of fate this monster slows down before harming anyone!
btw..still can't login for some reason
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MC Hurricane
Registered User
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Posts: 9
Loc: Newport News,VA
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I just could not believe that had strengthened that much. It really surprised me to find out that it was that strong.  By the way i'm not new. For a while I was unregistered going by the name hurricanekid. I am praying for the people of Cuba having to go through what maybe a category four at landfall.
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