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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 943
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #63717 - Fri Nov 18 2005 02:47 PM

The other mods keep this down in the west Carrib for a few days and then pull the moisture across the peninsula...A strong front is forecast into Florida on Tuesday and that scenario makes the most logical sense ( but then again logic is all I have to work with, whoever said this stuff was logical?)

--------------------
doug


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Lee-Delray
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: doug]
      #63718 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:06 PM

I think if this becomes Gamma today it's going to weaken and move across Florida, but I was thinking top winds in the 30-35 mph range for a few hours, with some higher gusts (maybe). I would agree that if it doesn't get here until Tuesday, it's in the Carribean and SF gets sporatic rain.

To those who are reading, I'm in real estate not a met; your guess is as good as mine.


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DJINFLA
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 28
Loc: Sebastian, FL 27.75N 80.54W
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #63719 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:14 PM

Found this in the Hunter's page. Don't really understand it, though. Perhaps someone can interpret. Is this even the correct info?

000
URPN12 KNHC 191854
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:30:20Z
B. 12 deg 28 min N
090 deg 34 min W
C. NA mb 1298 m
D. 80 kt
E. 090 deg 007 nm
F. 114 deg 071 kt
G. 35 deg 008 nm
H. EXTRAP 984 mb
I. 15 C/ 1528 m
J. 26 C/ 1517 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. OPEN E
M. C25
N. 12345/08
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0101E ADRIAN OB 16
MAX FL WIND 83 KT N QUAD 16:53:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
HEAVY RAIN OUTBOUND NW QUAD


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #63720 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:15 PM

latest recon:
URNT11 KNHC 182004
97779 19574 60160 85500 03100 99005 22223 /0007
49905
RMK AF309 02JJA INVEST OB 16


this is the lowest pressure so far.... and looks still like the center is broad...winds are atleast a TD status now, but i haven't seen any TS winds at flt. level..... but there not far off...

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Nov 18 2005 03:19 PM)


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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: DJINFLA]
      #63721 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:16 PM

That vortex report two posts above is not a recon report from this storm. That looks like a recon report from the first Pacific storm this season.

Edited by Thunderbird12 (Fri Nov 18 2005 03:17 PM)


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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1153
Loc: fl
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: DJINFLA]
      #63722 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:18 PM

That Hunters page is a east pac system in a different month,,probably year...see it says 19th and today is the 18th.,.,also the lat and long is centering it off the west coast of Coasta Rica in the Pacific.

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DJINFLA
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 28
Loc: Sebastian, FL 27.75N 80.54W
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: scottsvb]
      #63723 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:22 PM

OK, I've been sleeping. Bad link or something. But, has any reports come back yet? Should we plan for a wet, windy week next week?

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Lee-Delray
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over [Re: DJINFLA]
      #63724 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:30 PM

Wet and windy Monday or Tuesday most likely.

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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Weather Report [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #63725 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:40 PM

Here is a weather station on the small island off of Honduras near the center. Winds have been 45 gusting to 60 in the past 2 hours and the pressure bottomed out at 29.58".

http://63.245.92.231/Current/Current_custom.htm

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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Lee-Delray
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
Re: Weather Report [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #63726 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:42 PM

wunderground just posted TS Gamma & going through SF

www.wunderground.com


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: Weather Report [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #63727 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:43 PM

we have gamma!

winds 40mph
pres. 1006

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
3 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN RE-GENERATES...BECOMES TROPICAL
STORM GAMMA...



--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Nov 18 2005 03:44 PM)


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Tropics Guy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 252
Loc: Miami, Florida
Re: GAMMA IS BORN [Re: Lee-Delray]
      #63728 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:44 PM

TS Gamma is officially born, threat to South Fla early next week.

TG

--------------------
Tropical Cyclones: "Mother nature's heat transfer machines"


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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc: 45.95N 84.55W
Re: Weather Report [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #63730 - Fri Nov 18 2005 03:46 PM

New thread up on the main page.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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