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Remnants from E PAC storms are forecast to move into SW Gulf by Friday and have a slight chance of redeveloping there. Rain likely going up in S TX and coastal TX either way.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 608 (Milton), US Major: 608 (Milton), FL Any: 608 (Milton), FL Major: 608 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx

Tropical Depression 10 Forecast Lounge

#93252 - Mon Aug 20 2012 06:11 PM

The wave presently located in the far eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde islands as of 08/20 6PM EDT, has been showing some steady improvement throughout the day today, and now has around a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours per , which could be conservative, so we will start a Lounge on this system.

As of 6:00 PM EDT Aug. 20, 96L was centered roughly near 10.5N 26W (give or take a good bit, as this system still a bit sloppy and organizing). Minimum pressure is around 1010mb, or less, and maximum sustained winds are about 25-30 MPH.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

(Title changed to reflect system upgrade.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Aug 22 2012 09:42 AM)

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