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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 60 (Maria) Florida - Any: 70 (Irma) Major: 70 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2003 News Talkback

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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC 33.56N 81.82W
ah, one more
      #13228 - Sat Sep 20 2003 10:48 AM

the best looking disturbance in the basin is.. 16n, 34w.
HF 1449z20september


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AlexK
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 29
A couple of questions
      #13229 - Sat Sep 20 2003 11:58 AM

Does anyone know what the highest sustained wind and highest wind gust were on land?

My hunch would be that the casualties were caused by people thinking that because the storm had weakened so drastically, it was not a threat.

The basin looks quiet now. But does anyone think that the convection over the western gulf could amount to anything?


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: A couple of questions
      #13230 - Sat Sep 20 2003 12:21 PM

I'm alive. It's a mess here with power out, etc, mostly tree damage all over. Power is still out in most places around here and I may be without power for another few days.

Got to go... Take care all.


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Floridacane
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 110
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
Re: A couple of questions
      #13231 - Sat Sep 20 2003 01:30 PM

Mike C
Glad to hear your ok. You take care up there and be safe!

--------------------
What's brewin' everyone?
Lori


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: A couple of questions
      #13232 - Sat Sep 20 2003 03:26 PM

Glad to hear that also! Now 4 globals are hinting at the GOM/BOC area (12z runs).

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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SunNFun
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 11
Loc: Redington Beach, FL
Pics of Damage
      #13233 - Sat Sep 20 2003 04:28 PM

St. Pete Times photographers view of some of the damage:

http://www.sptimes.com/2003/09/20/isabel_photogallery/page1.shtml


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recmod
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 188
Loc: Orlando, FL
NHC Forecast Accuracy For Isabel
      #13234 - Sat Sep 20 2003 04:39 PM

Just a tidbit of Isabel trivia for those who thought the NHC didn't have a handle on the forecast track of Isabel:

5PM Sept 13~120hr forecast position: 33.5N 75.0W

11AM Sept 18~ actual storm location: 33.1N 74.7W

I don't think a 120hr forecast can be any closer than that!

--Lou


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida 27.92N 82.00W
Re: A couple of questions
      #13235 - Sat Sep 20 2003 05:16 PM

Where ya getting data Storm Cooper? I keep looking but keep getting old model runs. Maybe I'm in a PC Time Warp and everything is stuck on just before Isabel's landfall.

Where are my manners...glad your doing okay Mike!!!

--------------------
Jara

*************************************************************


Edited by stormchazer (Sat Sep 20 2003 05:18 PM)


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: A couple of questions
      #13236 - Sat Sep 20 2003 05:45 PM

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/

Better site now

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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AlexK
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 29
Western gulf
      #13237 - Sat Sep 20 2003 06:05 PM

Does anyone think the area of convection in the western gulf could amount to anything? It sure looks like heavy convection, but I see no signs of a circulation

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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: Western gulf
      #13238 - Sat Sep 20 2003 06:33 PM

Pressures are still on the high side but I think it is possible. Needs more Cv and hang around over water. Models may not be too bad on this as some hinted to this lask week during the focus on Isabel.
No mention of it in the TWO?

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1

Edited by Storm Cooper (Sat Sep 20 2003 06:35 PM)


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Mary K.
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 166
Re: Western gulf
      #13239 - Sat Sep 20 2003 06:37 PM

It sure looks a little busy but persistance is the key. We are cloudy here in Central Florida and looks like we are getting some trailing clouds from that little mass in the Gulf. It will be interesting to see what becomes of it, if anything.

--------------------
weather is all you can count on, good or bad.


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57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: Western gulf
      #13241 - Sat Sep 20 2003 07:16 PM

There's a little ball of convection that is starting to flair in the W. GOM, looks better organized than last night or even earlier today. As Mary mentioned in her post we are getting a lot of TS's here from the flow over our area. Had a severe storm a couple of hours ago. Looks like a pattern that will be setting up for a while, here we go again rain and more rain, at least we don't have to water our lawn. So looks like the GOM may have a couple of areas of interest that we need to keep an eye on. Good to see your post Mike, Glad to hear that you weathered the storm OK!

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


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javlin
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
Re: Western gulf
      #13242 - Sat Sep 20 2003 07:58 PM

Interesting bouy reports the one to the W has dropped 4/100's inch since 1pm wind @ 5knots from the N area to the E the wind @ 15 knots from the E should we continue to see drops like this mght have something going on.Their is that one little flareup that looks like where the action might be.Kimster awesome picture.

correction 4/100's drop in pressure reading the wrong line of data

Edited by javlin (Sat Sep 20 2003 09:19 PM)


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
CONVECTION
      #13243 - Sat Sep 20 2003 08:49 PM

Convection flaring up in the Gulf and the Atlantic tonight. Persistence is the key. Let's see what happens.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: Western gulf
      #13244 - Sat Sep 20 2003 09:12 PM

Check out the 18Z model run. Looks like some fancy foot work there! Anyone care to comment?

Trying out the URL link, looks like I didn't do it right. Well at least it will open. Maybe I will have better luck next time.


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/ Model link

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Edited by 57497479 (Sat Sep 20 2003 09:16 PM)


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javlin
Weather Master


Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
Re: Western gulf
      #13245 - Sat Sep 20 2003 09:23 PM

I had a problem trying to figure out how the sight actually presented it's data.

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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: Western gulf
      #13246 - Sat Sep 20 2003 09:33 PM

Go the moe..link. It is there, just looked. Yea Toni they are wacking out but picking up on something I think....may be an invest before the weekend is over.....javlin..if you still have problems PM me and I will try to help

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1

Edited by Storm Cooper (Sat Sep 20 2003 09:36 PM)


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