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Tropical Depresison #3 forms near the Bahamas, likely to remain offshore of Florida, weak, with no watches or warnings issued.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 9 (Barry) , Major: 285 (Michael) Florida - Any: 285 (Michael) Major: 285 (Michael)
27.0N 79.5W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1012mb
N at 12 mph
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Archives 2000s >> 2004 Storm Forum

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TS Charly
      #18835 - Wed Aug 11 2004 12:51 AM

They show the track for Charly for the Florida peninsula. Is this a definite, also what are the chances of him hitting somewhere along the panhandle. Are we out of the woods?

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Weather Master

Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: TS Charly [Re: Anonymous]
      #18878 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:36 AM

Do not assume you are out of the woods until the storm is dead or has moved past your area. These long range forecasts on hurricanes are only guidelines. They are not accurate before 36 hours. With the state of Florida so densely packed with people. There is not enough time to evacuate the coast lines before a major strike. This is not to frighten people who live in well constructed homes. This is a warning for people who are more or less"camping" or visiting from other states. The people who live in RV style homes need to be heading inland from your area soon. The tornados that are possible does more damage usually.The tornados can not be predicted by anyone The worst scenario would be for the cane to hug the coastline and stall like so many of our Florida storms and fronts can do. If you tour the central Florida area around Mickey Mouse land you see many many RV parks and Mobile home parks holding thousands of Citizens, many of them dependent on medications, oxygen, and not ambulatory under many circumstances. This is the area of population that gives the local meterologists and civil defense planners, nightmares. I on the other hand see a sector of the criminal population that gives me nightmares in terms of law and order problems.

God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.

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Debi Hall

Re: TS Charly [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #18904 - Wed Aug 11 2004 09:29 AM

We are flying into Tampa on Sautrday and are heading to an area called the Siesta Key's. Will we be alright to still stay with our plans and not long does the BAD weather last?

I live in Michigan and am not really aware of the Hurricane issues.

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Re: TS Charly [Re: Debi Hall]
      #18910 - Wed Aug 11 2004 09:50 AM

Debi - be prepared for a long delayed flight into Tampa if the storm makes landfall anywhere near Tampa Bay. If it makes landfall in Tampa Bay or south of it I'd considered changing your plans.

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Re: TS Charly [Re: Debi Hall]
      #19031 - Wed Aug 11 2004 03:27 PM

Siesta Key is lovely, you will enjoy your stay! Assuming it doesn't get hit by Charley. However, you may want to rethink your flight plans, Tampa might not be a good place to be flying into on Saturday. Siesta Key is also a barrier island and will be evacuated for the slightest reason, so you may well find yourself without accomodations. Keep an eye on Charley, find out what the airlines can do in terms of changing flight plans as needed. Check with your accomodations in Siesta regarding their policies for storms. Many will refund or allow you to come at a later date. As for weather after a Hurricane, it's usually crisply cleanly beautiful.

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Reged: Sat
Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
Re: TS Charly [Re: Anonymous]
      #19054 - Wed Aug 11 2004 04:16 PM


for weather after a Hurricane, it's usually crisply cleanly beautiful.

While I don't expect Charly to be anything like Camille was, I think you will *wish* it was not so 'crispy' as often power is disrupted for days or weeks if a hurricane passes through. I wouldn't take much of a course change from the currently forecast to put Tampa in a 'hard-hit' area. I was without power when Camille went through Biloxi for over 4 months...and that was ON BASE. No Power means NO Air August. That said, I was lucky, many people didn't have houses any more and didn't really need power, and note that Camille was in's August, and if Tampa/Orlando area is hit, it will likely be on FRIDAY the 13th and you know what Murphy says about stuff like that. I sure wouldn't plan any vacations around late this week or weekend involving the West coast of Florida....or for that matter, the East coast above about the Cape, North....

Just my 2 cents worth....

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