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#97L is actually looking very impressive today, but heading further out to sea regardless. Could pick up a name in real-time TBD...
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 38 (Barry) , Major: 314 (Michael) Florida - Any: 314 (Michael) Major: 314 (Michael)
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

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El niņo
      #2165 - Sun Aug 25 2002 05:34 PM

What influence will this year's El Niņo have on the 2003 hurricane season?

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Weather Master

Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: El niņo
      #2525 - Mon Sep 02 2002 01:27 PM

I don't mean to leave you hanging on a thread, but it is nearly impossible to forecast El Nino's effect on the 2003 hurricane season. At this point, an average season may be likely. Stay tuned as we head into December and Janurary as some ideas should begin to pop up by then.

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: El niņo
      #2674 - Wed Sep 04 2002 12:55 AM

ask us next spring/summer when we somebody has a clue. there is no reliable way to predict it at this point.. using those cpc forecasts is about as useful as betting the mrf is right at 14 days.

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Storm Tracker

Reged: Thu
Posts: 373
Loc: Puerto Rico
Re: El niņo
      #2870 - Fri Sep 06 2002 07:10 PM

It is very difficult to say so early what will happen in the 2003 season in terms of el nino factor.We have to wait until spring of 2003 to see by then what climate changes are in the pacific and look for the SSTa's in that period.

My 2004 hurricane season forecast=13/8/3

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