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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

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Allison
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Eyewall Replacement and Wobbles
      #22872 - Wed Sep 01 2004 10:51 PM

The main board is way too crowded right now, so I though I'd bring this question over here...

When looking at the sat loop posed by Teal (which, by the way, is gorgeous!), it appears to me that, as Frances' eye shrinks, she wobbles north. Likewise, as the eye widens, she moves west again.

Is there a general rule that applies here, or is what I'm seeing just coincidence?

Here's the sat loop: http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~rickk/frances.html


Thanks!

Allison


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ClarkModerator
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: Eyewall Replacement and Wobbles [Re: Allison]
      #23024 - Thu Sep 02 2004 01:52 AM

It's likely more coincidence than anything, but that field is one that is understudied. Until this year, no one really recognized the necessity to better understand these eyewall cycles. Isabel last year and Charley and Frances this year are changing things, however. So, I can't tell you definitively as to whether it's a pattern or if it's coincidence, but I would tend towards the latter.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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