SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
Reged:
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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If this doesn't do it, nothing will make him go:
Full size:
http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/maps/ivan_centralgulf49.gif
As Mike indicates with each new thread, do not focus only on the forecast path, everyone under a warning or watch needs to be prepared.
NHC Advisory 50 for indicates hurricane force winds up to 100 miles inland at landfall.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Thanks skeet! Um...that would convince ME to leave
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 337
Loc:
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Quote:
Hey ............ how soon are you going to do one of your street level maps for Mobile ?? I may need it to use as leverage to get my hubby to leave !!
Thanks !
http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/maps/ivan_centralgulf45.gif
This is close. hope it helps.
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mud1967
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 42
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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You got it right!!
60 NM and 69.....static
Thanks LI phil and all who took a stab at it. Great link!
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 337
Loc:
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Anytime you're on the coast with a major storm coming at you, I think you should leave.
Judging from the traffic coming out of New Orleans, lots of people are evacuating.
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Rubber Ducky
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 34
Loc: Cocoa Beach, FL
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Table 7 of Bowditch (American Practical Navigator) is the best source for longitude-at-latitude distance calcs: http://pollux.nss.nima.mil/pubs/pubs_j_apn_sections.html?rid=187
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Quote:
If this doesn't do it, nothing will make him go:
That's it. I'm out of here . Bye
Full size:
http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/maps/ivan_centralgulf49.gif
That's it. I'm out of here . Bye
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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CentralFlorida
Weather Watcher
Reged:
Posts: 27
Loc: Port Richey FL
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Everyone in the path or that will be affected from I wish you all the best. Be safe!!
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Survived Charley, Jeanne, Frances, Ivan and my Wife
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lcdrgas
Registered User
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Posts: 3
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Question from an amateur......Should I evacuate to a shelter 4 miles away?or stay in the house.....Front door step is at 25 foot level..1/2 mile north of the perdido key sound/grand lagoon. House was built in 1996 2200 sf, stucco....Very few trees. I am sending the family but thinking of staying as others in the neighborhhod are also...Would a shelter offer more protection?(school), even though it is very similiar in distance from the gulf as the house.......Thanks for your responses
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
Reged:
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Quote:
Question from an amateur......Should I evacuate to a shelter 4 miles away?or stay in the house.....Front door step is at 25 foot level..1/2 mile north of the perdido key sound/grand lagoon. House was built in 1996 2200 sf, stucco....Very few trees. I am sending the family but thinking of staying as others in the neighborhhod are also...Would a shelter offer more protection?(school), even though it is very similiar in distance from the gulf as the house.......Thanks for your responses
When I lived in Metro Detroit, we had a local Met who always said; "if threatening weather approaches, or you feel threatened by the weather, move to a safe location"
You choice to evac is yours alone. I'm confident you will make the right decision.
Be safe.
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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Go to another shelter inland.
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
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Why not? Maybe its the summer of Camille. Big anniversary, lots of talk. Hasn't been one like that in a long time. Earlier in the season around the anniversary there was talk of that storm going in there.
Usually this season I have looked to the right of the cone (usually south) and was right with both and but with 's tenancious nature and need to go west.. just takes a little westward movement or lack of eastern movement at landfall to replay landfall where Camille made famous. A hard act to follow.. maybe this is the year for to do so.
Just a few thoughts of an historic point of view.
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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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If you think you may be in a dangerous location LEAVE NOW!! It will take you At least twice as long to get from point A to point B now. Waiting will further jeopardize your safety.
I'm at the intersection of I-59(from New Orleans), US 98(from Mobile and FL panhandle), and US 49 (from the MS Gulf Coast) I have never seen traffic back up SO Bad.
New Orleans: Contra flow (4 lanes of traffic out!! east and west)
Airport:most airlines are shutting down at 7pm CDT tonite.
Traffic is at a crawl here. Long lines at fuel pumps. And I'm 60 miles from the Gulf Of Mexico!!
I've been told that US Hwy 49 from Gulfport is backing up below Hattiesburg.
Edited by danielw (Tue Sep 14 2004 11:01 PM)
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MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4544
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Joseph Johnston has a webcam in a really good location in Mobile bay that we host on this site, http://flhurricane.com/jjohnston/
wanted to make special mention of that
Also if jjohnston is around please email me. (I lost your original email)
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lilyv
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 31
Loc: Utah
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Quote:
If you think you may be in a dangerous location LEAVE NOW!! It will take you At least twice as long to get from point A to point B now. Waiting will further jeopardize your safety.
Incredibly good advice.
Edited by lilyv (Tue Sep 14 2004 10:53 PM)
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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mbfly...
I just checked "who's online" and noticed you are still here. How much more convincing will it take?
I know this may be the most difficult decision you will ever have to make, but this in NOT frederick. It's GOING TO BE WORSE (unless the almighty one throws us a bone...pray for that).
I really think you need to evac now...to Texas! If your husband won't go...you may want to consider going it alone (I know that would be another incredibly difficult decision). If you do decide to go..GO NOW. Every minute you delay puts you in that much more danger!
If you do decide to stay, then my heart and prayers will certainly be with you...godspeed!
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Allison
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
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To those who are evacuating:
First of all, let me wish each of you the best of luck. All our thoughts will be with you during the coming days.
Second, while human interests ALWAYS come first, please remember to take your pets with you. If you are not able to return for days or weeks, they won't be ok on their own. Tell your neighbors too...
Some resources that might be of help:
Mobile, AL SPCA -- http://www.mobilespca.org/
Louisiana SPCA -- http://www.la-spca.org/
Pet-Friendly Hotels -- http://www.petswelcome.com/
Emergency Animal Rescue Service -- http://www.uan.org/ears/
Animals in Disasters -- http://www.redcross.org/services/disaster/0,1082,0_604_,00.html
Humane Society of Bay County, 1600 Bay Ave, Panama City, Florida 32405, (850) 763-3923
Allison
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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can we just ask you to compute it for us??
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Phil and MBfly, based on the traffic I'm seeing here. 80 miles from Mobile. Mobile residents may be better off on Interstate 65. Just remember, Once you leave, don't turn around and go back!!
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jth off
Unregistered
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65N out of Mobile is a virtual parking lot from Mobile all the way to BHAM. It took my sister 4.5 hrs to get to Montgomery. My cousins coming up and have gotten off the interstate in favor of back roads.
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