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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Ivan's eye [Re: mbfly]
      #27826 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:47 PM

>>> Mbfly (me) will let y'all know tomorrow !! I'm quite convinced now that it will go over my house. Too bad it will be at night time; would love to take and send pics.

Ummmm...I am assuming you mean venturing out during the passage of the eye? Might not be a good idea...just me though.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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jaybythebay
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 18
Loc: Mobile,Al
Re: Ivan's eye [Re: mbfly]
      #27827 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:48 PM

This will my last post for sometime. I will try to upload some pictures when power returns to Mobile. I'm not that close to the bay as my name implies. Mrs. M be safe and God bless.

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Ed in Va
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 489
Loc:
Getting stronger [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #27828 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:49 PM

If you run this satellite option on 48 hrs, it's now just as impressive as it was as a Cat 5 off western Cuba:
http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/satellite/sat...amp;overlay=off

--------------------
Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1299
Re: Ivan's eye [Re: jaybythebay]
      #27829 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:49 PM

good luck Jay

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Ginni
Unregistered




Re: Pensacola Christian College [Re: Frank P]
      #27830 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:54 PM

Can anyone tell me anything about the safety of Pensacola Christian College buildings? I have a daughter there. They have evacuated to lower level buildings, but are keeping the kids on campus. It looks like they are going to get slammed regardless of where this comes ashore.

I appreciate this site. This has been my best source of info for Charley, Francis and now Ivan. I'm in Central Florida, about 15 miles south of where the turnpike and I75 meet, in Bushnell, so Francis came very close.

Just very worried about the daughter at college! Ginni in Bushnell, FL


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javlin
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
Re: Ivan's eye [Re: Rabbit]
      #27831 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:56 PM

Got some serious temp. indifferences going on I would think by the colors definitly deeping.I notice that too the W and SW looking strong right now.Gotta go wife and kid waiting.

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Storm Cooper
User


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Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Pensacola Christian College [Re: Ginni]
      #27832 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:56 PM

JK just had a tornado go right by the tower cam on PCB.

Coop

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
4:00 advisory [Re: Ginni]
      #27833 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:56 PM

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200409.public.html

Might be time for the Crown Frank...I think you just got yer northward news! Good luck!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Ed in Va
Weather Master


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Posts: 489
Loc:
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: LI Phil]
      #27834 - Wed Sep 15 2004 08:59 PM

5:00 discussion of Ivan:
http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/hur_dis_nt4.html

--------------------
Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!


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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: LI Phil]
      #27835 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:00 PM

Check out this bouy reading!!!

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42040


AND THAT WAS 2 HOURS OLD! WOW!

Edited by FlaRebel (Wed Sep 15 2004 09:01 PM)


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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: FlaRebel]
      #27836 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:03 PM

Unless I'm reading it wrong, those numbers were recorded at 1850z...it's now 2100z...still though

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Ken-SRQ
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 7
Loc: Sarasota, FL
Re: I Think Frank This is a New Trend [Re: Frank P]
      #27837 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:03 PM

Frank,
110 is plenty! That's about what Alica had in 1983, which was the only time I have been hit head one by a major hurricane. That was enough. You never seem to forget the noise, or the house shaking in the wind gusts...

The lat lon are taken from the Gibson Ridge GRW Level 3 software. I think that they are pretty accurate since they match up to the lat lon of the radar sites.

Just remember that I am not an official source of information - just an accountant taking his best guess!

Ken


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AdmittedHacker
Unregistered




Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: FlaRebel]
      #27838 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:04 PM

"A buoy about 75 miles south of Dauphin Island reported 50 ft seas.... "

This is about to get serious...!


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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: LI Phil]
      #27839 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:05 PM

I had just edited my post while you were posting to clarify that Phil. Thanks for catching my error. Still pretty dang impressive to be 2 hrs plus old.

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BillD
User


Reged:
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: FlaRebel]
      #27840 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:06 PM

This is the buoy I was thinking of in an earlier post when I was wondering how much these buoys can take. If it has not reported now for 2 hours, maybe a 42 ft wave was too much? Or one higher than that?

Update: it did report in, but it appears that the instrument that measures wave height is no longer functioning. Last hour the max wave height was 42 ft and the swells were 32.5. But remember this is out in the open water 64 nm from land.

Bill


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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: Pensacola Christian College [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #27841 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:08 PM

he got excited but stayed with it.. great video. its storming here. tornados everywhere here.

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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: BillD]
      #27842 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:09 PM

Bill I think something is wrong with the site. All seem to be 2 hrs old.

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BillD
User


Reged:
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: FlaRebel]
      #27843 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:15 PM

I just looked at last report was 3:50 CDT, which was about 20 minutes ago. I think maybe it missed reporting in last time around, but caught up? I don't know how sophisticated the reporting features are, but they seem to be better than they used to be.

Bill


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javlin
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: BillD]
      #27844 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:15 PM

Frank if Ivan goes due N then the eyewall on the W side comes in at 88.6'.Me and you are roughly at 90' that's 24 miles from the eyewall that is going to be tough.The one good thing he's moving.
Got to add going to be a whole heck of alot difference than being on the E side.They will get hammered.

Edited by javlin (Wed Sep 15 2004 09:20 PM)


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1299
Re: 4:00 advisory [Re: LI Phil]
      #27845 - Wed Sep 15 2004 09:17 PM

I sure hope so Phil, looks a real solid north right now with no westerly component... I can live with 88.3.... looks awesome on IR.... and any shift to the east as forecasted will only help out...just talked to my brother in Mobile, they're getting some good gusts... its still quite in Biloxi, tides about 3 feet above normal but surf is cool, something we don't have around here..

Yeah 110 mph is tough, but I've experience 170 plus with Camille, at least 120 to 125 with Elena, 90 to 100 with Georges... and there is NO comparison for me with north winds vs south winds.... .... I'll take that 100-110 north wind all night long as opposed to what poor Mobile will be getting...

I'll post as long as I can, with updates from my brother in Mobile....

fp


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